THIRD QUARTER
Three straight baskets give the Lakers the lead to start the half. They weren’t exactly hard to come by either.
The two-time MVP answers right back with a triple. I’m writing like Kevin Harlan is talking and that disturbs me. Fatigue is setting in.
Odom gets another lay-up. That’s four straight to start the half.
Is Doug Collins secretly working as Leondro Barbosa’s agent? To say he loves him would be quite an understatement. Barbosa and Bell hit back-to-back threes to give Phoenix the lead again.
Andrew Bynum is fired up. He’s fist pumping left and right. He’s having a very solid game with 12 points and 5 rebounds.
Odom and Nash trade horrendous passes, and then Odom goes coast-to-coast for another three-point play. Great start to the year for Odom. Suns lead by one.
Steve Nash gets an uncontested floater. How does he always end up wide open? I guess teams fear the pass first with him.
Bynum dominates Amare in the post for a lay-up, and then following a turnover, Odom goes behind the back to Evans to ignite the crowd.
Odom then brings the crowd to their feet with a three. Suddenly, the Lakers are up six and I get an IM from my friend who loves the Suns that reads “this is so unlike the Suns!” He's kidding. My championship pick is NOT looking great right now.
It’s a 53-32 run for the Lakers since the end of the first quarter. Doug Collins just said “discombobulated.” This isn’t going well for Phoenix.
Andrew Bynum is absolutely dominating right now in the post. He gives the Lakers an eight-point lead with a nice hustle play. He has 16 points and 9 rebounds, and there is no question he’ll be the story in L.A. if the Lakers win this. Meanwhile, in the desert, the concern about Amare’s knee isn’t being alleviated.
Jordan Farmar gets his first NBA points to give the Lakers an 83-73 lead. Following a Marcus Banks bucket, Farmar goes right back to the basket for another lay-up. That really shouldn’t happen.
After a Radmanovic miss, Mo Evans gets another offensive rebound and basket. Evans, Bynum and Odom are giving the Lakers a ton of energy tonight.
The Lakers have a 24-2 advantage in the paint in the third quarter. Yikes.
It’s an 87-79 game in favor of Los Angeles after three. Who saw that coming?
FOURTH QUARTER
Farmar gets yet another lay-up to begin the fourth quarter. Can TNT find a shot of the Clippers licking their chops?
Radmanovic hits a jumper, which is a wonderful sign for Lakers fans. They follow that basket with a great trap to create a turnover. It leads to nothing, but it was a nice play.
The Lakers simply have no fear going to the basket. Odom gets another lay-up, and hits his free throw to give the Lakers a 94-81 lead. Meanwhile, Nash gets more real-time rest.
Remember kids; my Finals pick is Phoenix vs. Miami. I feel great right now. Ugh.
L.A. can’t miss. It’s 101-85. They’ve made six straight field goals to start the quarter. They looked like they were going to be blown out of the building in the first quarter. You have to love the NBA.
All right, I take back what I wrote earlier. Odom will be the story in Los Angeles. He’s working on 29 points, 10 rebounds, 6 assists, and 3 steals.
There’s still a ton of time left here. Almost eight minutes of game time, which I believe translates into 22 minutes of real time.
Barbosa hits a big three and, surprisingly, Doug Collins sings his praises. Good grief. The lead is now 102-91. Look out!
Marion hits another easy basket to cut the lead to nine as the Lakers start to turn the ball over.
Smush Parker nails an open three as the Lakers take advantage of a double team in the post.
Mo Evans strokes a beautiful 19-footer, then on the other end, Shawn Marion misses by a mile on a long-range attempt. The Staples Center is on their feet. Seriously, who expected this from the Lakers tonight? I don’t even know what to make of this. L.A. leads 107-95.
Barbosa hits another three. Guess who said he’s the only player who can make a shot for Phoenix? He also said nine points is a three possession game “when you play the Suns.” Uh, Doug, it’s three possessions when you play anyone.
Odom buries a huge triple to give the Lakers a 10-point lead, but Barbosa answers right back.
Andrew Bynum drains a fall-away 15-footer to put the Lakers up by nine. Has he arrived or is this a one-night mirage? We’ll find out tomorrow. He’s been amazing in this one with 18 points, 9 boards and 5 assists. Odom is up to 32/13/6. Mo Evans has 17 points. Who needs Kobe?
It’s all over. 114-106 is your final. Odom finishes with 34. Barbosa has 30 in a losing effort, so at least Doug Collins was right.
What a HUGE win for the Lakers. What a bizarre opening night. This is going to be some season if tonight is any indication.
Thanks for reading.
Tuesday, October 31, 2006
Live Blogging: Suns at Lakers (1st half)
FIRST QUARTER
How excited do you think Kevin Harlan has been all day? I’m thinking he was fun to be around this morning.
I’m telling you right now, if this is another blowout, I’m going to bed. I don’t have the commitment to sit through two horrible games.
My man, Sasha Vujacic, gets the start in place of Kobe Bryant. This is terrible news for the Lakers. Also, it’s interesting that Luke Walton gets the start over Vlad Radmanovic. We’ll see how long that lasts. Andrew Bynum makes his first start at center for the purple and gold. This could be really, really bad for them.
Lights Out is fine. It’s a little darker, but really there’s not a huge difference on TV.
The game starts at a Phoenix pace for sure. 8-6 in favor of the Suns early as they’re getting whatever they want offensively.
Phoenix has hit their first six shots. This offensive system is something else.
Shawn Marion hits a three to put the Suns up 16-11. This game is going faster than I can type. I can’t imagine the Lakers hanging at this pace for much longer.
Kurt Thomas keeps Phoenix perfect from the floor with a 17-footer.
Marion hits another shot and will go to the line. The Suns are 9 for 9 to start the game. As if that’s not enough, in come Amare Stoudemire and Leandro Barbosa.
Whoa, Raja Bell missed a wide-open three. They’re human.
Add in a big dunk from Amare. I sense that I’m going to bed soon as Vujacic dribbles the ball off of his foot out of bounds.
It’s now 28-14. Make it 30-14 as Amare scores again. So far, he looks fine to me. My championship pick looks wonderful right now.
It’s a 20-3 run over a three minute time period. The Lakers are playing absolutely no defense in transition or half-court.
Finally, Mo Evans makes a defensive play for the Lakers and is rewarded with a lay-up at the other end. That’s precisely why they picked him up.
Amare rejects a Ronny Turiaf shot. He’s very active so far.
Barbosa knocks down a three to put Phoenix up 39-20. This is a disaster so far for the Lakers.
Wow, that was some first quarter for the Suns. They lead 41-26 and are shooting 77%.
SECOND QUARTER
Brian Cook strokes a three to start the quarter. It was reported earlier in the day that he couldn’t come to an agreement with the Lakers on a new contract, but now Ross Siler of the L.A. Daily News is reporting they’ve worked out a new three-year deal. So, there you go. I’m not a huge fan of Cook’s game. He’s a streak shooter. My understanding is that Vlad Radmanovic is also a shooter, so I don’t know why Cook is necessary.
Lamar Odom uses a nice spin move inside to get to the line. He’s going to have to continue to be aggressive like that to keep this close.
He follows my advice but misses a pretty easy lay-up. Every time the Lakers miss, the Suns score immediately.
L.O. is completely abusing Kurt Thomas. Mike D’Antoni is going to have to make an adjustment. The Lakers are making this respectable as Odom converts a three-point play.
Kobe’s wedding ring is absurd. Seriously, it looks like he’s wearing his wife’s ring.
Doug Collins is hammering home the real time rest for Steve Nash. It’s something like 23 minutes. I’ve never understood why real time rest is important. He misses his first two shots coming back off the bench. He must be rusty from all that actual time he was sitting.
Radmanovic takes a turnover all the way for a lay-up to cut the lead to 46-40. The Lakers are taking advantage of some turnovers and missed shots. It’s funny how easy it is to get back in a game when the other team finally misses some shots.
Phoenix suddenly can’t buy a basket. They’re 3 for 11 in the quarter and the Lakers are capitalizing.
The energy level has totally shifted. The Lakers are getting offensive rebounds, creating turnovers and scoring in transition. They’re also missing a ton of free throws.
Nash nails a wide-open triple to stop the run. Phoenix leads 51-43.
The Lakers are really challenging Phoenix on every shot. At the other end, Andrew Bynum takes a beautiful Smush Parker pass and turns it into a three-point play. Amazingly, the Lakers are only down six.
Bynum gives Mo Evans a gorgeous backdoor pass out of the post for a lay-up. This is the tale of two quarters to say the least and it’s a VERY entertaining game so far. The Lakers would actually be winning this game if they could make their free throws.
Shawn Marion ends another run with a wide open 10-footer. He has 14 to lead the Suns, who hold a 58-53 lead at the half.
No sleep for me!
How excited do you think Kevin Harlan has been all day? I’m thinking he was fun to be around this morning.
I’m telling you right now, if this is another blowout, I’m going to bed. I don’t have the commitment to sit through two horrible games.
My man, Sasha Vujacic, gets the start in place of Kobe Bryant. This is terrible news for the Lakers. Also, it’s interesting that Luke Walton gets the start over Vlad Radmanovic. We’ll see how long that lasts. Andrew Bynum makes his first start at center for the purple and gold. This could be really, really bad for them.
Lights Out is fine. It’s a little darker, but really there’s not a huge difference on TV.
The game starts at a Phoenix pace for sure. 8-6 in favor of the Suns early as they’re getting whatever they want offensively.
Phoenix has hit their first six shots. This offensive system is something else.
Shawn Marion hits a three to put the Suns up 16-11. This game is going faster than I can type. I can’t imagine the Lakers hanging at this pace for much longer.
Kurt Thomas keeps Phoenix perfect from the floor with a 17-footer.
Marion hits another shot and will go to the line. The Suns are 9 for 9 to start the game. As if that’s not enough, in come Amare Stoudemire and Leandro Barbosa.
Whoa, Raja Bell missed a wide-open three. They’re human.
Add in a big dunk from Amare. I sense that I’m going to bed soon as Vujacic dribbles the ball off of his foot out of bounds.
It’s now 28-14. Make it 30-14 as Amare scores again. So far, he looks fine to me. My championship pick looks wonderful right now.
It’s a 20-3 run over a three minute time period. The Lakers are playing absolutely no defense in transition or half-court.
Finally, Mo Evans makes a defensive play for the Lakers and is rewarded with a lay-up at the other end. That’s precisely why they picked him up.
Amare rejects a Ronny Turiaf shot. He’s very active so far.
Barbosa knocks down a three to put Phoenix up 39-20. This is a disaster so far for the Lakers.
Wow, that was some first quarter for the Suns. They lead 41-26 and are shooting 77%.
SECOND QUARTER
Brian Cook strokes a three to start the quarter. It was reported earlier in the day that he couldn’t come to an agreement with the Lakers on a new contract, but now Ross Siler of the L.A. Daily News is reporting they’ve worked out a new three-year deal. So, there you go. I’m not a huge fan of Cook’s game. He’s a streak shooter. My understanding is that Vlad Radmanovic is also a shooter, so I don’t know why Cook is necessary.
Lamar Odom uses a nice spin move inside to get to the line. He’s going to have to continue to be aggressive like that to keep this close.
He follows my advice but misses a pretty easy lay-up. Every time the Lakers miss, the Suns score immediately.
L.O. is completely abusing Kurt Thomas. Mike D’Antoni is going to have to make an adjustment. The Lakers are making this respectable as Odom converts a three-point play.
Kobe’s wedding ring is absurd. Seriously, it looks like he’s wearing his wife’s ring.
Doug Collins is hammering home the real time rest for Steve Nash. It’s something like 23 minutes. I’ve never understood why real time rest is important. He misses his first two shots coming back off the bench. He must be rusty from all that actual time he was sitting.
Radmanovic takes a turnover all the way for a lay-up to cut the lead to 46-40. The Lakers are taking advantage of some turnovers and missed shots. It’s funny how easy it is to get back in a game when the other team finally misses some shots.
Phoenix suddenly can’t buy a basket. They’re 3 for 11 in the quarter and the Lakers are capitalizing.
The energy level has totally shifted. The Lakers are getting offensive rebounds, creating turnovers and scoring in transition. They’re also missing a ton of free throws.
Nash nails a wide-open triple to stop the run. Phoenix leads 51-43.
The Lakers are really challenging Phoenix on every shot. At the other end, Andrew Bynum takes a beautiful Smush Parker pass and turns it into a three-point play. Amazingly, the Lakers are only down six.
Bynum gives Mo Evans a gorgeous backdoor pass out of the post for a lay-up. This is the tale of two quarters to say the least and it’s a VERY entertaining game so far. The Lakers would actually be winning this game if they could make their free throws.
Shawn Marion ends another run with a wide open 10-footer. He has 14 to lead the Suns, who hold a 58-53 lead at the half.
No sleep for me!
Live Blogging: Bulls at Heat (2nd Half)
HALFTIME
Bulls fans are rightfully geeked over at Blog-a-Bull right now. There’s even weeping happening. Thanks to Matt for the mention.
If you watched any Heat games last year, you know how many comebacks D-Wade led them on. I don’t see it happening here, but I thought I should bring it up.
THIRD QUARTER
Pat Riley told the team that they’re getting out hustled at the half. Do you think so, Pat?
One thing very noticeable in the first half was how different these teams are when it comes to depth. The Bulls seem to go a legit 12 deep. The Heat seems to go 1 deep.
If Miami is going to come back, they should probably guard Kirk Hinrich. He hits another from long range. That gives him 20 points on 8-14 shooting.
Ben Wallace slams home a Hinrich miss. This is complete domination on both ends of the floor.
Hinrich hits another three off of great ball movement. Brilliant signing by John Paxson!
Meanwhile, Walker just missed another three. Seriously, no one can tell him to stop? Didn’t he learn from the postseason? Why does this always happen?
So, we’re less than an hour from Suns vs. Lakers. That should be fun.
I’m hopeful this blowout leads to extended time for Tyrus Thomas, Thabo Sefolosha, Jason Kapono and Dorell Wright.
Shaq has been incredibly quiet tonight. He’s got 6 points and 5 rebounds. Has Ben Wallace taken him out of the game or is he out of shape again? If you answered yes, you win.
Dwayne Wade just switched his shot 5 times while in the air and made a lay-up. He’s unreal.
Chris Duhon is on fire! No, really. He’s 6-7 from the field and 3-3 from behind the arc. When it’s going your way, it’s going your way.
The T-Mobile commercials with D-Wade and Charles Barkley are a little bit uncomfortable. I’m not quite sure what I’m supposed to think of them. Does the music choice want me to think romance? Let’s stop there.
Chris Duhon hits another bucket to put the Bulls up 80-51.
It’s garbage time, baby!!!!
FOURTH QUARTER
Steve Kerr just made a great point. How is Pat Riley going to motivate this Heat team to play hard during the regular season? They won a title last year without caring at all until halfway through the Bulls series. That’s something to keep an eye on.
No Kobe tonight in the late game. Uh-oh.
Some bad news for the Bulls: Chris Duhon is done for the night with a bruised foot.
The Bulls bench holds a 36-5 advantage over their counterparts from the Heat. I’m trying to find an aspect of this game the Bulls haven’t totally dominated. I’m failing.
Tyrus Thomas is taking a beating out there. He just took an elbow to the head from James Posey. That looked nasty.
Can we go to the Staples Center now? The Bulls lead 89-59. The fans are flocking to the exits.
Thabo Sefolosha hits a nice jumper. I like his game a lot.
Garbage time is making me sleepy.
Sefolosha just fleeced Robert Hite and finished with a great dunk for the three-point play. Thabo is going to be an interesting player to watch this year. If he adapts to the NBA well, this is going to be a very scary team. The way they've played tonight, they may be scary without him.
It’s 100-66. The Bulls bench is now up to 49 points. That’s disgusting.
OK, now Barkley and D-Wade are in a father/son relationship thanks to T-Mobile. That spot is far more comfortable.
END THIS GAME!!!!
108-66 is the final. Nothing more needs to be said about this one. It was complete and total domination from the start of the second quarter on. The Bulls certainly lived up to the hype on opening night.
Bulls fans are rightfully geeked over at Blog-a-Bull right now. There’s even weeping happening. Thanks to Matt for the mention.
If you watched any Heat games last year, you know how many comebacks D-Wade led them on. I don’t see it happening here, but I thought I should bring it up.
THIRD QUARTER
Pat Riley told the team that they’re getting out hustled at the half. Do you think so, Pat?
One thing very noticeable in the first half was how different these teams are when it comes to depth. The Bulls seem to go a legit 12 deep. The Heat seems to go 1 deep.
If Miami is going to come back, they should probably guard Kirk Hinrich. He hits another from long range. That gives him 20 points on 8-14 shooting.
Ben Wallace slams home a Hinrich miss. This is complete domination on both ends of the floor.
Hinrich hits another three off of great ball movement. Brilliant signing by John Paxson!
Meanwhile, Walker just missed another three. Seriously, no one can tell him to stop? Didn’t he learn from the postseason? Why does this always happen?
So, we’re less than an hour from Suns vs. Lakers. That should be fun.
I’m hopeful this blowout leads to extended time for Tyrus Thomas, Thabo Sefolosha, Jason Kapono and Dorell Wright.
Shaq has been incredibly quiet tonight. He’s got 6 points and 5 rebounds. Has Ben Wallace taken him out of the game or is he out of shape again? If you answered yes, you win.
Dwayne Wade just switched his shot 5 times while in the air and made a lay-up. He’s unreal.
Chris Duhon is on fire! No, really. He’s 6-7 from the field and 3-3 from behind the arc. When it’s going your way, it’s going your way.
The T-Mobile commercials with D-Wade and Charles Barkley are a little bit uncomfortable. I’m not quite sure what I’m supposed to think of them. Does the music choice want me to think romance? Let’s stop there.
Chris Duhon hits another bucket to put the Bulls up 80-51.
It’s garbage time, baby!!!!
FOURTH QUARTER
Steve Kerr just made a great point. How is Pat Riley going to motivate this Heat team to play hard during the regular season? They won a title last year without caring at all until halfway through the Bulls series. That’s something to keep an eye on.
No Kobe tonight in the late game. Uh-oh.
Some bad news for the Bulls: Chris Duhon is done for the night with a bruised foot.
The Bulls bench holds a 36-5 advantage over their counterparts from the Heat. I’m trying to find an aspect of this game the Bulls haven’t totally dominated. I’m failing.
Tyrus Thomas is taking a beating out there. He just took an elbow to the head from James Posey. That looked nasty.
Can we go to the Staples Center now? The Bulls lead 89-59. The fans are flocking to the exits.
Thabo Sefolosha hits a nice jumper. I like his game a lot.
Garbage time is making me sleepy.
Sefolosha just fleeced Robert Hite and finished with a great dunk for the three-point play. Thabo is going to be an interesting player to watch this year. If he adapts to the NBA well, this is going to be a very scary team. The way they've played tonight, they may be scary without him.
It’s 100-66. The Bulls bench is now up to 49 points. That’s disgusting.
OK, now Barkley and D-Wade are in a father/son relationship thanks to T-Mobile. That spot is far more comfortable.
END THIS GAME!!!!
108-66 is the final. Nothing more needs to be said about this one. It was complete and total domination from the start of the second quarter on. The Bulls certainly lived up to the hype on opening night.
Live Blogging: Bulls at Heat (1st Half)
The NBA is back!! We’re here all night long (WHOOOOO!!) for opening night.
Before the games begin, I just want to say I’m thrilled to see Ernie Johnson back for the pre-game show. He’s been dealing with chemo for the past six weeks, and I certainly hope he gets better soon. Opening night wouldn’t have been the same without him.
The highlight of the pre-game show was Magic Johnson, who said, “The new ball is smaller in the sense that it isn’t as big as the old one.” Fantastic.
TNT is going to make us sit through the ring ceremony, which means I’m going to be up all night.
The Commish is in Miami! Is he running in ’08 yet? Someone needs to start a campaign. Everyone, and I mean everyone, is going to get a ring.
My wife is baffled by Rod Stewart’s music playing as Pat Riley gets his ring.
You have to see Jason Jackson’s player introductions. It’s truly uncomfortable. Picture the MTV Video Music Awards minus the celebrities, but with a pseudo-hip looking sideline reporter. This is why YouTube is around.
As Mason would say, LET’S PLAY SOME BASKETBALLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL
We'll update after every quarter, so keep hitting refresh.
FIRST QUARTER
Finally, the season actually begins.
Kirk Hinrich has a brand new contract just in time for tonight’s festivities. Good move to lock him up. I’m curious to see what John Paxson does with Luol Deng, Andres Nocioni and Ben Gordon. One of them has to go unless the Bulls go way over the luxury tax.
The Heat is wearing red, while the Bulls are wearing white. Now I’m confused. The crowd is wearing white at the urging of the hometown Heat. Why would the team be in red?
Luol Deng goes right to the hoop for a dunk. That was some horrible transition defense. Bulls lead 4-2.
Dwayne Wade hits his first three shots, two of them coming off bank shots. He’s good.
The new ball rears its ugly head as it slips out of the Glove’s hand. Luol Deng has a breakaway dunk. NO!!! Dwayne Wade with an incredible block out of nowhere, but also a foul. Still, that is tremendous effort.
Shaq picks up his second foul at 7:51 in the quarter. In comes Alonzo Mourning.
The Bulls are doing a great job of getting to the foul line early, and they’ve used a 10-1 run to take a 14-7 lead. Miami might want to have someone other than Dwayne Wade score in this game. So far, he’s the only one on the board.
Gary Payton ends that with a three from the corner.
This game is pretty ugly so far. Not a lot of made shots for either team. The Heat looks like they’ve been celebrating the championship during the pre-game.
Bad news for Heat fans as Dwayne Wade picks up his second foul. He’ll stay in the game though and even hits a three on the next trip down. He has 10 of Miami’s 13 points.
Add James Posey to the two-foul club. There have been a ton of whistles in this game. Ben Gordon shoots the 14th and 15th free throws of the first quarter for Chicago.
Chris Quinn replaces Dwayne Wade, and my immediate thought is that Jalen Rose will be wearing a Miami uniform in their next game.
The Bulls are shooting 22% and winning by 5. The reason: they’ve shot 17 free throws. Ben Gordon has missed his first six shots.
The Bulls are really getting after it defensively. Ben Wallace has a huge rejection of Zo and now P.J. Brown makes a great defensive play to force a jump ball. They’re as good as advertised so far.
Nocioni hits a beautiful runner to wrap up the quarter. Bulls lead 22-16. Shooting percentages are horrifying: Bulls 25%, Heat 33%. Guh!
SECOND QUARTER
Luol Deng is having a nice game so far. He starts the quarter with a three.
Andres Nocioni puts the Bulls up by 10 with another runner in the lane, and then gets hit with a quick technical for barking at the officials. If that’s any indication, they’re going to be strict this year. I’m all for it.
This quarter is all Bulls right now. Hinrich buries a 25-footer as the shot clock expires, and then off a steal by Deng, the Bulls get another three point play from Chris Duhon. 32-19 Chicago.
Deng buries another jumper, and the Heat badly needs a timeout. The Bulls have kicked this to another level. Deng is shooting the ball very well and leads the team with 10 points.
Tyrus Thomas has some incredible athletic ability. Steve Kerr can’t believe the offensive put back he just saw, and frankly, neither can I. Thomas was above the rim, grabbed the ball left handed, and finished with both hands in one motion. That was something.
The Bulls are doing everything right. They’re getting the points in transition. They’re getting the second chance points. They’re playing defense like crazy. It’s an impressive first half.
Kirk Hinrich just drove the baseline for a lay-up without a defender coming near him. It’s 42-25, and Riley needs another timeout.
Dwayne Wade is 5-6 from the floor. The rest of the Heat is shooting 5-21.
Hinrich penetrates right to the rim for another three-point play. Hinrich and Deng lead the Heat 27-25 right now.
The chucking Antoine Walker has overtaken the drive and score Antoine Walker to start the year. He’s 0-4 from behind the arc, 3-3 from inside it. Can anyone convince him to stop shooting from the out there?
It’s so bad for Miami that even Ben Wallace is scoring! Break up the Bulls!!
Duhon hits consecutive three pointers to put Chicago up 57-28. They have outscored Miami 35-12 in the second quarter and this is getting REALLY ugly. At least the Heat has their rings.
I’m not sure the Bulls can play better than what they showed in the second quarter. I’m not sure the Heat can play worse. It’s 59-30 at the half.
Before the games begin, I just want to say I’m thrilled to see Ernie Johnson back for the pre-game show. He’s been dealing with chemo for the past six weeks, and I certainly hope he gets better soon. Opening night wouldn’t have been the same without him.
The highlight of the pre-game show was Magic Johnson, who said, “The new ball is smaller in the sense that it isn’t as big as the old one.” Fantastic.
TNT is going to make us sit through the ring ceremony, which means I’m going to be up all night.
The Commish is in Miami! Is he running in ’08 yet? Someone needs to start a campaign. Everyone, and I mean everyone, is going to get a ring.
My wife is baffled by Rod Stewart’s music playing as Pat Riley gets his ring.
You have to see Jason Jackson’s player introductions. It’s truly uncomfortable. Picture the MTV Video Music Awards minus the celebrities, but with a pseudo-hip looking sideline reporter. This is why YouTube is around.
As Mason would say, LET’S PLAY SOME BASKETBALLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL
We'll update after every quarter, so keep hitting refresh.
FIRST QUARTER
Finally, the season actually begins.
Kirk Hinrich has a brand new contract just in time for tonight’s festivities. Good move to lock him up. I’m curious to see what John Paxson does with Luol Deng, Andres Nocioni and Ben Gordon. One of them has to go unless the Bulls go way over the luxury tax.
The Heat is wearing red, while the Bulls are wearing white. Now I’m confused. The crowd is wearing white at the urging of the hometown Heat. Why would the team be in red?
Luol Deng goes right to the hoop for a dunk. That was some horrible transition defense. Bulls lead 4-2.
Dwayne Wade hits his first three shots, two of them coming off bank shots. He’s good.
The new ball rears its ugly head as it slips out of the Glove’s hand. Luol Deng has a breakaway dunk. NO!!! Dwayne Wade with an incredible block out of nowhere, but also a foul. Still, that is tremendous effort.
Shaq picks up his second foul at 7:51 in the quarter. In comes Alonzo Mourning.
The Bulls are doing a great job of getting to the foul line early, and they’ve used a 10-1 run to take a 14-7 lead. Miami might want to have someone other than Dwayne Wade score in this game. So far, he’s the only one on the board.
Gary Payton ends that with a three from the corner.
This game is pretty ugly so far. Not a lot of made shots for either team. The Heat looks like they’ve been celebrating the championship during the pre-game.
Bad news for Heat fans as Dwayne Wade picks up his second foul. He’ll stay in the game though and even hits a three on the next trip down. He has 10 of Miami’s 13 points.
Add James Posey to the two-foul club. There have been a ton of whistles in this game. Ben Gordon shoots the 14th and 15th free throws of the first quarter for Chicago.
Chris Quinn replaces Dwayne Wade, and my immediate thought is that Jalen Rose will be wearing a Miami uniform in their next game.
The Bulls are shooting 22% and winning by 5. The reason: they’ve shot 17 free throws. Ben Gordon has missed his first six shots.
The Bulls are really getting after it defensively. Ben Wallace has a huge rejection of Zo and now P.J. Brown makes a great defensive play to force a jump ball. They’re as good as advertised so far.
Nocioni hits a beautiful runner to wrap up the quarter. Bulls lead 22-16. Shooting percentages are horrifying: Bulls 25%, Heat 33%. Guh!
SECOND QUARTER
Luol Deng is having a nice game so far. He starts the quarter with a three.
Andres Nocioni puts the Bulls up by 10 with another runner in the lane, and then gets hit with a quick technical for barking at the officials. If that’s any indication, they’re going to be strict this year. I’m all for it.
This quarter is all Bulls right now. Hinrich buries a 25-footer as the shot clock expires, and then off a steal by Deng, the Bulls get another three point play from Chris Duhon. 32-19 Chicago.
Deng buries another jumper, and the Heat badly needs a timeout. The Bulls have kicked this to another level. Deng is shooting the ball very well and leads the team with 10 points.
Tyrus Thomas has some incredible athletic ability. Steve Kerr can’t believe the offensive put back he just saw, and frankly, neither can I. Thomas was above the rim, grabbed the ball left handed, and finished with both hands in one motion. That was something.
The Bulls are doing everything right. They’re getting the points in transition. They’re getting the second chance points. They’re playing defense like crazy. It’s an impressive first half.
Kirk Hinrich just drove the baseline for a lay-up without a defender coming near him. It’s 42-25, and Riley needs another timeout.
Dwayne Wade is 5-6 from the floor. The rest of the Heat is shooting 5-21.
Hinrich penetrates right to the rim for another three-point play. Hinrich and Deng lead the Heat 27-25 right now.
The chucking Antoine Walker has overtaken the drive and score Antoine Walker to start the year. He’s 0-4 from behind the arc, 3-3 from inside it. Can anyone convince him to stop shooting from the out there?
It’s so bad for Miami that even Ben Wallace is scoring! Break up the Bulls!!
Duhon hits consecutive three pointers to put Chicago up 57-28. They have outscored Miami 35-12 in the second quarter and this is getting REALLY ugly. At least the Heat has their rings.
I’m not sure the Bulls can play better than what they showed in the second quarter. I’m not sure the Heat can play worse. It’s 59-30 at the half.
Monday, October 30, 2006
Fast Breaks 10/30/06
Here are some quick thoughts on the eve of the season:
1) What a great doubleheader to start the year. Chicago vs Miami is the perfect way to kick things off as the Champs get their rings and then immediately are forced to deal with one of the most hyped teams in the East. We'll see what Ben Wallace brings to Chicago and whether he's the missing link in stopping Shaq. The perception around Chicago is that Dwayne Wade sucks against the Bulls. We'll see.
2) OK, it's time to admit something to you people. I love the Lakers. Always have and always will. So, needless to say, I'm fired up to watch them take on the Suns. Will Kobe play? No one seems to know. Will Amare be fine coming off the bench in Phoenix? No one knows. I'm a little nervous about my Suns pick right now, but I'm way more nervous about my Lakers pick considering the injury situation.
3) The Lakers are going against the grain of the rest of the league and actually making the game the focus in the arena. Seriously. I can't wait to see what this looks like.
4) Good for the Magic and the NBA for banning the idiot racist. I would have let Dikembe Mutumbo dunk on him repeatly while swinging elbows too.
The votes are in and here are the teams we'll be covering regularly, in no particular order:
Lakers, Bulls, Magic, Heat, Hornets, Jazz, Suns and Knicks.
I'm going to add the Sonics, Clippers and Celtics to the list too, but honestly, I'm going to have opinions on everything.
Back tomorrow for the doubleheader.
1) What a great doubleheader to start the year. Chicago vs Miami is the perfect way to kick things off as the Champs get their rings and then immediately are forced to deal with one of the most hyped teams in the East. We'll see what Ben Wallace brings to Chicago and whether he's the missing link in stopping Shaq. The perception around Chicago is that Dwayne Wade sucks against the Bulls. We'll see.
2) OK, it's time to admit something to you people. I love the Lakers. Always have and always will. So, needless to say, I'm fired up to watch them take on the Suns. Will Kobe play? No one seems to know. Will Amare be fine coming off the bench in Phoenix? No one knows. I'm a little nervous about my Suns pick right now, but I'm way more nervous about my Lakers pick considering the injury situation.
3) The Lakers are going against the grain of the rest of the league and actually making the game the focus in the arena. Seriously. I can't wait to see what this looks like.
4) Good for the Magic and the NBA for banning the idiot racist. I would have let Dikembe Mutumbo dunk on him repeatly while swinging elbows too.
The votes are in and here are the teams we'll be covering regularly, in no particular order:
Lakers, Bulls, Magic, Heat, Hornets, Jazz, Suns and Knicks.
I'm going to add the Sonics, Clippers and Celtics to the list too, but honestly, I'm going to have opinions on everything.
Back tomorrow for the doubleheader.
Friday, October 27, 2006
Tuesday, October 24, 2006
Around the League: 10/24/06
One week to go until these games count!
Thanks to the NBA League Pass (which is the greatest thing ever), I can give you several takes from five meaningless games tonight.
First up is Miami at Orlando.
NBA TV brings the awesome early with a promo for “Tuesday Night with Ahmad” which is some pre-game show they’re doing on Tuesday. The only problem is they have classically misspelled “Ahamd”. Can someone tell the NBA TV crew that some of us are actually watching?
It’s Rajon Rondo time in New Jersey and unfortunately that means it is also Tommy Heinsohn time. We’ll see how long I can last with Atlantic Division basketball. I’m actually intrigued to see the Celtics.
Let’s flip around for a few minutes.
WAIT!!!!
The game is suddenly tied at 107. What happened?
I need your help. What teams would you most like to read about this season? I’ll focus on what you, the fans, have to say. It’s all about you here at the Nothing But Nylon Empire.
Thanks to the NBA League Pass (which is the greatest thing ever), I can give you several takes from five meaningless games tonight.
First up is Miami at Orlando.
- No D-Wade and no Shaq, but the good news is that the Heat are working Wayne Simien and Jason Kapono into the rotation.
- To say this is not going well for the Heat early would be an understatement. Dwight Howard is absolutely abusing Zo down low. He dunked on him, he ripped an offensive rebound away on the next possession, and then later he nearly killed him driving for another dunk off of a fast break. Dwight Howard is the real deal, I cannot stress this enough.
- Apparently, the abuse has upset Alonzo Mourning because he just rejected a Grant Hill dunk as only he can. Totally clean and totally humiliating for Hill. At least Hill’s healthy. Should we start a pool?
- By the way, this is my plan for this blog: complete total stream of conscious thoughts as I watch games. It starts Halloween with a live diary of both games, and yes, I know that sounds like Bill Simmons. Deal with it. There’s no way the wife lets it happen more than twice this season.
- In eight minutes of play, Dwight Howard has 10 points, 4 rebounds, 3 assists, 2 steals and now a left-handed block of a Gary Payton lay-up. He’s not great with free throw shooting, but he’s now beating the Heat by himself in this game.
NBA TV brings the awesome early with a promo for “Tuesday Night with Ahmad” which is some pre-game show they’re doing on Tuesday. The only problem is they have classically misspelled “Ahamd”. Can someone tell the NBA TV crew that some of us are actually watching?
It’s Rajon Rondo time in New Jersey and unfortunately that means it is also Tommy Heinsohn time. We’ll see how long I can last with Atlantic Division basketball. I’m actually intrigued to see the Celtics.
- After a whistle, Tommy muttered something incoherent to himself and then shockingly complained about the call. He’s in postseason form. Give him a Tommy point!
- I don’t understand why Danny Ainge would make the rumored Al Jefferson for Carlos Boozer deal. I would much rather have Jefferson who is younger and bigger.
- Jefferson looks confident on the offensive end, which is a very good thing for the Celtics. The other Jefferson in this game, the Nets’ Richard, is also scoring at will with 16 first quarter points. He just finished a beautiful pass from Nets rookie Marcus Williams. I really think this Nets team will sleepwalk to an Atlantic title.
- Tony Allen, Sebastian Telfair and Rajon Rondo are getting to the basket whenever they want. They’re all playing very aggressively early in this one.
Let’s flip around for a few minutes.
- Back in Orlando, Miami used an 18-5 second quarter run to get back in the game. They’re only down by 2 early in the third.
- The Knicks have 61 points at the half against the Sixers. This could be a ridiculously long year in Philadelphia.
- Former Minnesota Golden Gopher Vincent Grier is doing his best to make the Heat roster. He has 6 points and 5 rebounds to spark the Heat run.
- Here’s a shocker: Gary Payton has a technical. How are guys like Kobe, Payton, Jalen Rose, Brad Miller, Rasheed Wallace and dozens of others going to avoid getting a technical in every game with the new focus on stopping the arguing after every play? This is going to be fascinating to watch all year.
- In New York, Eddy Curry just picked up his first rebound at the 7:30 mark of the third quarter. Seriously, how can this be so difficult? I will never understand this one.
- Vincent Grier just made a half court shot to end the third quarter, but it won’t count. He’s officially feeling it.
- Isiah Thomas is sitting on the floor and talking to Eddy Curry. He’s literally on the floor. I may have to watch every game this season.
- The Pistons are handling the Wizards easily late in the 4th. I couldn’t care less about this game.
- Miami has grabbed a 77-74 lead. This game has devolved into Keyon Dooling vs. Vincent Grier to determine a victor. Only seven more days!
- Grier misses a lay-up following a steal, but Mourning is there for the put back. This game can’t end fast enough for me.
- Oh, terrific!! Miami is asking their fans to wear white for opening night against Chicago. That gimmick has NO life left in it.
- I just realized I’m watching and blogging a game that Eric Reid described as “The Vincent Grier Show on Sun Sports”. I thought I had a life, but now I’m questioning everything.
- OK, the Heat leads 86-77. I think they’ve got it.
- Vince Carter follows a three-point play with a three-point play. I’m just guessing here, but I don’t think Sebastian Telfair can guard him.
- Mikki Moore just finished a beautiful VC pass. Yes, that Mikki Moore.
- The Celtics have seven players in double figures and they’re losing. I love the new NBA.
- The Nets have used this game to show off how they’ll beat most of the East. Richard Jefferson has 26 points, Vince Carter has 20 points, Nenad Krstic has 16 points and Jason Kidd has 12 assists. It’s a pretty simple formula.
WAIT!!!!
The game is suddenly tied at 107. What happened?
- Gerald Green fouls Brandon Walsh with 2.6 seconds left. Sorry, Matt Walsh. He makes both free throws.
- I think Rondo is getting the ball here. He’s a barrel of energy and he’ll find a way to win this game for them.
- Well, I’m wrong. Rondo will inbound the ball for the final play. Allen Ray can’t get a shot off. Good night, folks!
- Tommy Heinsohn didn’t see the play and says he doesn’t know what happened. Terrific analysis. Does he not have a monitor?
I need your help. What teams would you most like to read about this season? I’ll focus on what you, the fans, have to say. It’s all about you here at the Nothing But Nylon Empire.
Wednesday, October 18, 2006
Fast Breaks: 10/18/06
A couple of fantastic things happening that I must update you on.
1) If you have not read Isiah Thomas blast ESPN's Greg Anthony on SI.com, you must do so immediately.
Isiah OWNS Greg Anthony
I would pick out my favorite part, but everything he said is so great that I can't pick just one. If you questioned whether this Knicks season was going to be awesome, you have no idea the fun we're about to encounter.
2) I watched two preseason games in their entirety (Bulls vs Sonics on Sunday, Lakers vs Kings last night), and I saw about 4,000 total turnovers. These games are BRUTAL. There is nothing more pointless than watching the preseason.
3) This goes out to my Sonics fans. I don't know where all the anger is coming from about the predictions, but I'm telling you right now you've displaced it. The new Sports Illustrated is out, and they've ranked your team 14th in the West. That's harsh and a little silly. I think they'll make a playoff run. Also, whoever started the "I like Robert Swift" blog is a good, good person. Thank you for that.
4) There's a lot of buzz about Rajon Rondo. The reason? Perhaps this is an example.
Now, play nice kids.
1) If you have not read Isiah Thomas blast ESPN's Greg Anthony on SI.com, you must do so immediately.
Isiah OWNS Greg Anthony
I would pick out my favorite part, but everything he said is so great that I can't pick just one. If you questioned whether this Knicks season was going to be awesome, you have no idea the fun we're about to encounter.
2) I watched two preseason games in their entirety (Bulls vs Sonics on Sunday, Lakers vs Kings last night), and I saw about 4,000 total turnovers. These games are BRUTAL. There is nothing more pointless than watching the preseason.
3) This goes out to my Sonics fans. I don't know where all the anger is coming from about the predictions, but I'm telling you right now you've displaced it. The new Sports Illustrated is out, and they've ranked your team 14th in the West. That's harsh and a little silly. I think they'll make a playoff run. Also, whoever started the "I like Robert Swift" blog is a good, good person. Thank you for that.
4) There's a lot of buzz about Rajon Rondo. The reason? Perhaps this is an example.
Now, play nice kids.
Tuesday, October 10, 2006
Playoff Predictions
Now that I’ve taken you through each division, I’m going to tell you exactly who is making the playoffs in each conference, and just to add total meaninglessness to the whole project, I’ll tell you who will win each series.
Trust me, this will be hilarious in June.
Eastern Conference Top 8
1. Miami
2. Cleveland
3. Chicago
4. New Jersey
5. Detroit
6. Washington
7. Indiana
8. Orlando
Western Conference Top 8
1. Dallas
2. Phoenix
3. San Antonio
4. Denver
5. Los Angeles Lakers
6. Sacramento
7. Houston
8. Los Angeles Clippers
First Round Playoffs
Miami over Orlando, Cleveland over Indiana, Chicago over Washington, Detroit over New Jersey
Dallas over Los Angeles Clippers, Phoenix over Houston, San Antonio over Sacramento, Los Angeles Lakers over Denver
Second Round Playoffs
Miami over Detroit, Cleveland over Chicago
Dallas over Los Angeles Lakers, Phoenix over San Antonio
Conference Finals
Miami over Cleveland
Phoenix over Dallas
Finals
Phoenix over Miami
Yep, Amare Stoudemire makes all the difference. I sure hope his knee is healthy.
Trust me, this will be hilarious in June.
Eastern Conference Top 8
1. Miami
2. Cleveland
3. Chicago
4. New Jersey
5. Detroit
6. Washington
7. Indiana
8. Orlando
Western Conference Top 8
1. Dallas
2. Phoenix
3. San Antonio
4. Denver
5. Los Angeles Lakers
6. Sacramento
7. Houston
8. Los Angeles Clippers
First Round Playoffs
Miami over Orlando, Cleveland over Indiana, Chicago over Washington, Detroit over New Jersey
Dallas over Los Angeles Clippers, Phoenix over Houston, San Antonio over Sacramento, Los Angeles Lakers over Denver
Second Round Playoffs
Miami over Detroit, Cleveland over Chicago
Dallas over Los Angeles Lakers, Phoenix over San Antonio
Conference Finals
Miami over Cleveland
Phoenix over Dallas
Finals
Phoenix over Miami
Yep, Amare Stoudemire makes all the difference. I sure hope his knee is healthy.
NBA Preview: Pacific Division
Thanks for waiting everyone! It’s time for the Pacific Division preview which, thankfully, is our last stop in a tour around the divisions. The Pacific seems to be fairly obvious at the top, but after that it’s anyone’s best guess. Here’s mine:
PHOENIX SUNS (2005-2006 record: 54-28; Lost to Dallas in Western Finals)
Predicted division finish: 1st
What the Suns did a year ago was truly remarkable. They played all but three games without Amare Stoudemire and were great. They lost Joe Johnson and turned the man they got in return, Boris Diaw, into an All-Star caliber player. Raja Bell brought a certain toughness on defense that had been lacking. When it was all said and done, the team no one thought could get the job done without Stoudemire almost went to the Finals.
That brings us to this season. Phoenix has to be on the short list of legitimate championship threats.
Steve Nash is the defending two-time MVP (which is utterly absurd and a whole other column) and is motivated to win a title. He’s the best in the game at getting the most out of his teammates, and there’s no reason to believe he won’t have another big year this season.
Stoudemire is working his way back, and honestly, if he gets back to 75% healthy this team will be dramatically improved. The Suns lacked an inside presence for most of the year, and Stoudemire is one of the top five big men in the league when he’s healthy. If his knee is right, look out.
Obviously the Suns are going to score. It’s what Mike D’Antoni knows and preaches, and with Shawn Marion, Leandro Barbosa, Nash, Stoudemire, Bell, Diaw, James Jones, Kurt Thomas and newcomers Jumaine Jones and Marcus Banks comprising the rotation, the Suns are going to score a lot.
The big question mark that Phoenix always faces is defense, but with the offense the Suns have, they’re going to win a ton of games regardless. I was really impressed by the heart and mental toughness Phoenix showed in the postseason last year. They fought back from 3-1 against the Lakers, they battled against the Clippers and they gave Dallas everything they could handle in a six game series. That grit and desire will be stronger this season, and I think if Stoudemire’s knee is healthy, this is your team to beat in the league. However, that’s a huge if.
LOS ANGELES LAKERS (2005-2006 record: 45-37. Lost in round one to Phoenix)
Predicted division finish: 2nd
I’ve already written my feelings on this Lakers team in depth, so I won’t bore you with it again.
In fact, here’s the link: Lakers Preview
I wrote that in July, and my feelings haven’t changed.
The Lakers will need to get off to a good start with a lot of early games at home, and they’ll need Kobe Bryant and Chris Mihm healthy, but if you look at Phil Jackson’s second year with teams historically, you’ll see plenty to be optimistic about. I stick to my 50 wins prediction.
SACRAMENTO KINGS (2005-2006 record: 44-38; Lost in round one to SA)
Predicted division finish: 3rd
This team scares me. If you look at the roster, it doesn’t necessarily jump out at you, but there’s something about this team that should be scaring the rest of the Pacific Division. I suppose it could just be Ron Artest.
Speaking of Artest, the Kings were 18-24 when they acquired the forward from the Indiana Pacers in exchange for Peja Stojakovic. With Artest, the Kings finished 26-14. If he can stay away from distractions, Artest is one of the game’s all-around best players. He can post up, he can shoot the three, he can defend, and he can rebound. If he matures, this team can be dangerous.
Artest has some help. Kevin Martin looks like a breakout star in the making and will get the time to shine now that Bonzi Wells is a Rocket. Mike Bibby is a quality point guard who quietly scores 21 points per game, and Brad Miller is the best shooting center in the league. That’s a fine core group. Add in hard working players like Kenny Thomas, Francisco Garcia, Corliss Williamson and Shareef Abdur-Rahim and you’ve got the makings for success.
Eric Musselman is the new head coach, and I’ve always thought Musselman got a raw deal in Golden State. He has a lot of talent to work with in Sarcramento, and he’ll work hard to make them a better defensive team, which works well since he’ll have the game’s best defender in Artest.
If Artest can keep it together in cowbell-land, watch the Kings. They could be one of the surprise teams out West this season.
LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS (2005-2006 record: 47-35; Lost in round two to PHX)
Predicted division finish: 4th
I hear you. This seems too low for the Clippers.
They have Elton Brand, Sam Cassell, Shaun Livingston, Chris Kaman, Cuttino Mobley, Corey Maggette all back in the fold.
That’s a quality rotation right there.
They added Tim Thomas in the off-season. They’ve got unsung bench players like James Singleton and Quinton Ross. Mike Dunleavy is one of the best coaches in the game.
I know all of this.
So why pick the Clippers fourth in the division?
Because they’re the Clippers, and until they show me they’re REALLY not anymore, then I say they can’t do it two years in a row. I just can’t buy into this. Something will go wrong. Some horrible mistake will still be made.
Now, in all seriousness, the middle of this divison is a complete toss up. The Lakers could be a disaster if Odom or Bryant get hurt. The Kings have to deal with Artest. The Clippers are the Clippers. Anything is possible. Someone has to be fourth, and as good as the Clippers were last year they still only finished three games ahead of the Kings and one game ahead of the Lakers. So, this year, I predict they finish fourth, and I’m fully prepared to look stupid if I’m wrong.
GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS (2005-2006 record: 34-48; Missed playoffs)
Predicted division finish: Last
The big news out of the Bay is that Don Nelson is back on the sidelines.
Sadly, he won’t be able to turn this around in one year.
Sure, the Warriors are going to run all over the place and they’ll probably be very exciting to watch. Baron Davis and Jason Richardson are going to enjoy playing up-tempo basketball. However, they don’t have enough around them to compete for the playoffs.
Mike Dunleavy and Troy Murphy have been huge disappointments the last couple of seasons. For the Warriors to improve, both Dunleavy and Murphy will have to find consistency in their games.
In addition, Golden State has a lot of unproven young talent who have had a hard time playing well night in and night out. Michael Pietrus is going to get a chance to start, so they’re hoping for big things from him. Andris Biedrins, Zarko Cabarkapa, Ike Diogu, Monta Ellis, and Matt Barnes are all pieces that fit somewhere on this roster, but I’m not even sure Don Nelson knows what to expect out of them.
Nelson wants the Warriors to get better defensively. I wish him the best of luck.
The bottom line for Golden State is that Nellie will help them improve more than they would have if Mike Montgomery was still around, but there are just too many teams that are better in the Pacific. Unless there’s a huge surprise that no one sees coming, the Warriors will find themselves in the cellar of the division for one more year.
PHOENIX SUNS (2005-2006 record: 54-28; Lost to Dallas in Western Finals)
Predicted division finish: 1st
What the Suns did a year ago was truly remarkable. They played all but three games without Amare Stoudemire and were great. They lost Joe Johnson and turned the man they got in return, Boris Diaw, into an All-Star caliber player. Raja Bell brought a certain toughness on defense that had been lacking. When it was all said and done, the team no one thought could get the job done without Stoudemire almost went to the Finals.
That brings us to this season. Phoenix has to be on the short list of legitimate championship threats.
Steve Nash is the defending two-time MVP (which is utterly absurd and a whole other column) and is motivated to win a title. He’s the best in the game at getting the most out of his teammates, and there’s no reason to believe he won’t have another big year this season.
Stoudemire is working his way back, and honestly, if he gets back to 75% healthy this team will be dramatically improved. The Suns lacked an inside presence for most of the year, and Stoudemire is one of the top five big men in the league when he’s healthy. If his knee is right, look out.
Obviously the Suns are going to score. It’s what Mike D’Antoni knows and preaches, and with Shawn Marion, Leandro Barbosa, Nash, Stoudemire, Bell, Diaw, James Jones, Kurt Thomas and newcomers Jumaine Jones and Marcus Banks comprising the rotation, the Suns are going to score a lot.
The big question mark that Phoenix always faces is defense, but with the offense the Suns have, they’re going to win a ton of games regardless. I was really impressed by the heart and mental toughness Phoenix showed in the postseason last year. They fought back from 3-1 against the Lakers, they battled against the Clippers and they gave Dallas everything they could handle in a six game series. That grit and desire will be stronger this season, and I think if Stoudemire’s knee is healthy, this is your team to beat in the league. However, that’s a huge if.
LOS ANGELES LAKERS (2005-2006 record: 45-37. Lost in round one to Phoenix)
Predicted division finish: 2nd
I’ve already written my feelings on this Lakers team in depth, so I won’t bore you with it again.
In fact, here’s the link: Lakers Preview
I wrote that in July, and my feelings haven’t changed.
The Lakers will need to get off to a good start with a lot of early games at home, and they’ll need Kobe Bryant and Chris Mihm healthy, but if you look at Phil Jackson’s second year with teams historically, you’ll see plenty to be optimistic about. I stick to my 50 wins prediction.
SACRAMENTO KINGS (2005-2006 record: 44-38; Lost in round one to SA)
Predicted division finish: 3rd
This team scares me. If you look at the roster, it doesn’t necessarily jump out at you, but there’s something about this team that should be scaring the rest of the Pacific Division. I suppose it could just be Ron Artest.
Speaking of Artest, the Kings were 18-24 when they acquired the forward from the Indiana Pacers in exchange for Peja Stojakovic. With Artest, the Kings finished 26-14. If he can stay away from distractions, Artest is one of the game’s all-around best players. He can post up, he can shoot the three, he can defend, and he can rebound. If he matures, this team can be dangerous.
Artest has some help. Kevin Martin looks like a breakout star in the making and will get the time to shine now that Bonzi Wells is a Rocket. Mike Bibby is a quality point guard who quietly scores 21 points per game, and Brad Miller is the best shooting center in the league. That’s a fine core group. Add in hard working players like Kenny Thomas, Francisco Garcia, Corliss Williamson and Shareef Abdur-Rahim and you’ve got the makings for success.
Eric Musselman is the new head coach, and I’ve always thought Musselman got a raw deal in Golden State. He has a lot of talent to work with in Sarcramento, and he’ll work hard to make them a better defensive team, which works well since he’ll have the game’s best defender in Artest.
If Artest can keep it together in cowbell-land, watch the Kings. They could be one of the surprise teams out West this season.
LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS (2005-2006 record: 47-35; Lost in round two to PHX)
Predicted division finish: 4th
I hear you. This seems too low for the Clippers.
They have Elton Brand, Sam Cassell, Shaun Livingston, Chris Kaman, Cuttino Mobley, Corey Maggette all back in the fold.
That’s a quality rotation right there.
They added Tim Thomas in the off-season. They’ve got unsung bench players like James Singleton and Quinton Ross. Mike Dunleavy is one of the best coaches in the game.
I know all of this.
So why pick the Clippers fourth in the division?
Because they’re the Clippers, and until they show me they’re REALLY not anymore, then I say they can’t do it two years in a row. I just can’t buy into this. Something will go wrong. Some horrible mistake will still be made.
Now, in all seriousness, the middle of this divison is a complete toss up. The Lakers could be a disaster if Odom or Bryant get hurt. The Kings have to deal with Artest. The Clippers are the Clippers. Anything is possible. Someone has to be fourth, and as good as the Clippers were last year they still only finished three games ahead of the Kings and one game ahead of the Lakers. So, this year, I predict they finish fourth, and I’m fully prepared to look stupid if I’m wrong.
GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS (2005-2006 record: 34-48; Missed playoffs)
Predicted division finish: Last
The big news out of the Bay is that Don Nelson is back on the sidelines.
Sadly, he won’t be able to turn this around in one year.
Sure, the Warriors are going to run all over the place and they’ll probably be very exciting to watch. Baron Davis and Jason Richardson are going to enjoy playing up-tempo basketball. However, they don’t have enough around them to compete for the playoffs.
Mike Dunleavy and Troy Murphy have been huge disappointments the last couple of seasons. For the Warriors to improve, both Dunleavy and Murphy will have to find consistency in their games.
In addition, Golden State has a lot of unproven young talent who have had a hard time playing well night in and night out. Michael Pietrus is going to get a chance to start, so they’re hoping for big things from him. Andris Biedrins, Zarko Cabarkapa, Ike Diogu, Monta Ellis, and Matt Barnes are all pieces that fit somewhere on this roster, but I’m not even sure Don Nelson knows what to expect out of them.
Nelson wants the Warriors to get better defensively. I wish him the best of luck.
The bottom line for Golden State is that Nellie will help them improve more than they would have if Mike Montgomery was still around, but there are just too many teams that are better in the Pacific. Unless there’s a huge surprise that no one sees coming, the Warriors will find themselves in the cellar of the division for one more year.
Saturday, October 07, 2006
NBA Preview: Southwest Division
How would you like to be in this division? To say it’s loaded would be quite an understatement. You have to feel for Memphis, because when you lose Pau Gasol in this division, you’re staring at a very long year.
DALLAS MAVERICKS (2005-2006 record: 60-22. Lost in NBA Finals to Miami)
Predicted division finish: 1st
They came up just short in their bid for a championship last year, but I think they’ve become the team to beat in this division and maybe in the Conference for the foreseeable future.
Dirk Nowitzki showed in the postseason that he can carry a team, and while his Finals series wasn’t the best, Dirk is still a guy you’d want to build your franchise around. I expect him to be ultra-motivated to get back to the Finals.
Josh Howard also emerged as a superstar in the making during the postseason. He’s looking for a new contract and at some point he’ll get one since he makes a perfect second scoring option for Nowitzki.
This is an unbelievably deep team. Devon Harris, Jason Terry, Anthony Johnson, Jerry Stackhouse, rookie Maurice Ager and newcomer Greg Buckner make up the backcourt. Up front, DeSagana Diop, Erick Dampier, Austin Croshere and Devean George join Nowitzki and Howard. That’s a heck of a lot of talent for Avery Johnson to use in his rotations.
The big key for Dallas is their switch from run-and-gun offensive team to a team with a defensive attitude. They come into this season hungry to get back to the Finals. There is a newfound nastiness to this club, and that’s what the Mavs needed all along.
I think Dallas will prove that last year’s Finals run was no fluke.
SAN ANTONIO SPURS (2005-2006 record: 63-19. Lost in round 2 to Dallas)
Predicted division finish: 2nd
The Spurs were stunned at home by Dallas to end a grueling seven game series last season, and everything changed with that one loss.
Now, you can’t simply pencil the Spurs into the Finals to start the year because they’ve been joined - if not passed - by other teams at the top of the Conference.
Tim Duncan remains arguably the game’s best big man, but he’s been plagued by injuries for the last two seasons. If Duncan isn’t right, then the Spurs aren’t right. He’s come into camp as healthy as he’s been in years, but remember, this is a team that’s played deep into the postseason most years, which means a lot of wear and tear on his body. All that said if Duncan is healthy, the Spurs could beat anyone.
Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili comprise one of the game’s best backcourts. Parker became a much larger offensive threat last year when he made his first All-Star team, and Ginobili is a force on both ends of the floor.
The Spurs rebuilt themselves up-front by adding Jackie Butler and Francisco Elston to replace Rasho Nesterovic and Nazr Mohammed. To me, that seems to be a wash.
My main concern for San Antonio is how old the bench has suddenly gotten. Brent Barry, Michael Finley, Jacque Vaughn, the great Robert Horry and even Bruce Bowen have all seen their best days come and go. On a team with some injury questions, the last thing the Spurs need is an old, broken down bench.
The Spurs are built on defense and the trio of Duncan, Parker and Ginobili. If they’re healthy, it’ll be another successful year in San Antonio. There’s no reason to think the Spurs won’t be right there at the top of the West, but I think they’ve taken a step back to the pack.
HOUSTON ROCKETS (2005-2006 record: 34-48. Missed playoffs)
Predicted division finish: 3rd
Here we go again for another season of Yao and T-Mac.
Since McGrady was dealt to Houston, the discussion about the Rockets has been the same: This is the best 1-2 punch in the league and the Rockets will be Western Conference championship contenders.
However, we’re all still waiting for it to happen and it’s all on Tracy McGrady’s back…literally.
T-Mac’s back continues to give him problems. He played in only 47 games last season and was never the real Tracy McGrady. For the Rockets to succeed, he must be healthy. If he’s not, this team has no chance. It’s that simple for Houston.
Yao, too, found himself with some injury problems last year that limited him to 57 games. Jeff Van Gundy is blaming shoes for Yao’s toe issues that are lingering into the start of training camp. The good news for Rockets fans is that when Yao played last season, he was phenomenal, averaging a double-double for the first time in his career.
Houston has added some depth around Yao and McGrady that could help. Bonzi Wells came aboard for virtually nothing, and will help with scoring. Shane Battier was acquired to do the little things, rebound and play solid defense.
Ultimately, how successful Houston is depends upon the health of their stars. Van Gundy builds his teams around defense, but if Yao and McGrady can’t get on the floor for the whole season, the Rockets are going to lose a lot of low-scoring games. If healthy, the Rockets seem to be a pretty good bet to make the playoffs. If not, they’re looking at a repeat trip to the lottery.
NO/OK HORNETS (2005-2006 record: 38-44. Missed playoffs)
Predicted division finish: 4th
The Hornets were a big surprise under Byron Scott a year ago, and they look poised to perhaps make a serious playoff run thanks to an off-season of wheeling and dealing.
Chris Paul had one of the best rookie seasons ever, taking the league by storm and re-energizing an entire franchise along the way. He almost carried the Hornets to the postseason a year ago, and this year he has a lot more scoring options to feed.
The biggest is Peja Stojakovic, who arrives with a big, new contract and a desire to quiet some critics. Stojakovic should be a perfect fit for the Hornets up-tempo offense since he will likely find himself with a lot of open looks from the outside.
Another addition that should fit in well is Tyson Chandler. Chandler is a pretty good shot-blocker and rebounder, but he was never able to get his offensive game on track in Chicago. I expect Chandler to fit much better in a running attack, and he’ll find himself with plenty of dunks thanks to Paul.
Bobby Jackson can also be a perfect fit on this squad, but he’s had a tough history with injuries. If he’s healthy, this may end up being the biggest of all the off-season moves.
David West, Desmond Mason, Marc Jackson and Rasual Butler give the Hornets a pretty athletic and offensive-minded eight-man veteran rotation. Add in rookies Hilton Armstrong and Cedric Simmons, and there’s more talent than some people realize on this roster.
I like the Hornets a lot, and I think they’ll have a legitimate shot at the 8th seed in the West this season if all the newcomers prove to be a good fit.
MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES (2005-2006 record: 49-33. Lost in first round to Dallas)
Predicted division finish: Last
It feels strange to put the Grizzlies last in the division, but when Pau Gasol went down at the World Championships, Memphis gasped and still hasn’t recovered (assuming they care about the Grizzlies).
This is not a roster that can bounce back from losing its best player. They’ll turn to Eddie Jones, Damon Stoudamire, Hakim Warrick and Mike Miller to get them through the tough months before Gasol is healthy, but I just don’t see how they can keep it together.
Rudy Gay is the star of the future for the franchise, but motivation has always been the knock on Gay, so it will be interesting to see if Mike Fratello and Jerry West can get through to him.
Stromile Swift finds himself back with a team he desperately wanted to get away from. That should be fun to follow, as Swift has never lived up to being the 2nd overall pick in the draft.
Memphis needs a healthy Pau Gasol to win, and since they won’t have that until at least the beginning of 2007, I can’t see any way they finish higher than last in this tough division.
DALLAS MAVERICKS (2005-2006 record: 60-22. Lost in NBA Finals to Miami)
Predicted division finish: 1st
They came up just short in their bid for a championship last year, but I think they’ve become the team to beat in this division and maybe in the Conference for the foreseeable future.
Dirk Nowitzki showed in the postseason that he can carry a team, and while his Finals series wasn’t the best, Dirk is still a guy you’d want to build your franchise around. I expect him to be ultra-motivated to get back to the Finals.
Josh Howard also emerged as a superstar in the making during the postseason. He’s looking for a new contract and at some point he’ll get one since he makes a perfect second scoring option for Nowitzki.
This is an unbelievably deep team. Devon Harris, Jason Terry, Anthony Johnson, Jerry Stackhouse, rookie Maurice Ager and newcomer Greg Buckner make up the backcourt. Up front, DeSagana Diop, Erick Dampier, Austin Croshere and Devean George join Nowitzki and Howard. That’s a heck of a lot of talent for Avery Johnson to use in his rotations.
The big key for Dallas is their switch from run-and-gun offensive team to a team with a defensive attitude. They come into this season hungry to get back to the Finals. There is a newfound nastiness to this club, and that’s what the Mavs needed all along.
I think Dallas will prove that last year’s Finals run was no fluke.
SAN ANTONIO SPURS (2005-2006 record: 63-19. Lost in round 2 to Dallas)
Predicted division finish: 2nd
The Spurs were stunned at home by Dallas to end a grueling seven game series last season, and everything changed with that one loss.
Now, you can’t simply pencil the Spurs into the Finals to start the year because they’ve been joined - if not passed - by other teams at the top of the Conference.
Tim Duncan remains arguably the game’s best big man, but he’s been plagued by injuries for the last two seasons. If Duncan isn’t right, then the Spurs aren’t right. He’s come into camp as healthy as he’s been in years, but remember, this is a team that’s played deep into the postseason most years, which means a lot of wear and tear on his body. All that said if Duncan is healthy, the Spurs could beat anyone.
Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili comprise one of the game’s best backcourts. Parker became a much larger offensive threat last year when he made his first All-Star team, and Ginobili is a force on both ends of the floor.
The Spurs rebuilt themselves up-front by adding Jackie Butler and Francisco Elston to replace Rasho Nesterovic and Nazr Mohammed. To me, that seems to be a wash.
My main concern for San Antonio is how old the bench has suddenly gotten. Brent Barry, Michael Finley, Jacque Vaughn, the great Robert Horry and even Bruce Bowen have all seen their best days come and go. On a team with some injury questions, the last thing the Spurs need is an old, broken down bench.
The Spurs are built on defense and the trio of Duncan, Parker and Ginobili. If they’re healthy, it’ll be another successful year in San Antonio. There’s no reason to think the Spurs won’t be right there at the top of the West, but I think they’ve taken a step back to the pack.
HOUSTON ROCKETS (2005-2006 record: 34-48. Missed playoffs)
Predicted division finish: 3rd
Here we go again for another season of Yao and T-Mac.
Since McGrady was dealt to Houston, the discussion about the Rockets has been the same: This is the best 1-2 punch in the league and the Rockets will be Western Conference championship contenders.
However, we’re all still waiting for it to happen and it’s all on Tracy McGrady’s back…literally.
T-Mac’s back continues to give him problems. He played in only 47 games last season and was never the real Tracy McGrady. For the Rockets to succeed, he must be healthy. If he’s not, this team has no chance. It’s that simple for Houston.
Yao, too, found himself with some injury problems last year that limited him to 57 games. Jeff Van Gundy is blaming shoes for Yao’s toe issues that are lingering into the start of training camp. The good news for Rockets fans is that when Yao played last season, he was phenomenal, averaging a double-double for the first time in his career.
Houston has added some depth around Yao and McGrady that could help. Bonzi Wells came aboard for virtually nothing, and will help with scoring. Shane Battier was acquired to do the little things, rebound and play solid defense.
Ultimately, how successful Houston is depends upon the health of their stars. Van Gundy builds his teams around defense, but if Yao and McGrady can’t get on the floor for the whole season, the Rockets are going to lose a lot of low-scoring games. If healthy, the Rockets seem to be a pretty good bet to make the playoffs. If not, they’re looking at a repeat trip to the lottery.
NO/OK HORNETS (2005-2006 record: 38-44. Missed playoffs)
Predicted division finish: 4th
The Hornets were a big surprise under Byron Scott a year ago, and they look poised to perhaps make a serious playoff run thanks to an off-season of wheeling and dealing.
Chris Paul had one of the best rookie seasons ever, taking the league by storm and re-energizing an entire franchise along the way. He almost carried the Hornets to the postseason a year ago, and this year he has a lot more scoring options to feed.
The biggest is Peja Stojakovic, who arrives with a big, new contract and a desire to quiet some critics. Stojakovic should be a perfect fit for the Hornets up-tempo offense since he will likely find himself with a lot of open looks from the outside.
Another addition that should fit in well is Tyson Chandler. Chandler is a pretty good shot-blocker and rebounder, but he was never able to get his offensive game on track in Chicago. I expect Chandler to fit much better in a running attack, and he’ll find himself with plenty of dunks thanks to Paul.
Bobby Jackson can also be a perfect fit on this squad, but he’s had a tough history with injuries. If he’s healthy, this may end up being the biggest of all the off-season moves.
David West, Desmond Mason, Marc Jackson and Rasual Butler give the Hornets a pretty athletic and offensive-minded eight-man veteran rotation. Add in rookies Hilton Armstrong and Cedric Simmons, and there’s more talent than some people realize on this roster.
I like the Hornets a lot, and I think they’ll have a legitimate shot at the 8th seed in the West this season if all the newcomers prove to be a good fit.
MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES (2005-2006 record: 49-33. Lost in first round to Dallas)
Predicted division finish: Last
It feels strange to put the Grizzlies last in the division, but when Pau Gasol went down at the World Championships, Memphis gasped and still hasn’t recovered (assuming they care about the Grizzlies).
This is not a roster that can bounce back from losing its best player. They’ll turn to Eddie Jones, Damon Stoudamire, Hakim Warrick and Mike Miller to get them through the tough months before Gasol is healthy, but I just don’t see how they can keep it together.
Rudy Gay is the star of the future for the franchise, but motivation has always been the knock on Gay, so it will be interesting to see if Mike Fratello and Jerry West can get through to him.
Stromile Swift finds himself back with a team he desperately wanted to get away from. That should be fun to follow, as Swift has never lived up to being the 2nd overall pick in the draft.
Memphis needs a healthy Pau Gasol to win, and since they won’t have that until at least the beginning of 2007, I can’t see any way they finish higher than last in this tough division.
NBA Preview: Northwest Division
The previews roll on as we head to the Western Conference. It’s still strange to me that an Eastern Conference team won the championship last year since the West is clearly the superior conference. I guess that’s why the NBA is fantastic!!! Let’s start in the Northwest since I’ve made our one Sonics reader wait long enough:
DENVER NUGGETS (2005-2006 record: 44-38. Lost in round 1 to Clippers)
Projected division finish: 1st
When I took a glance at the depth chart for this year’s team, I was struck by the glut of power forwards:
Kenyon Martin. Nene. Joe Smith. Reggie Evans. Eduardo Najera.
What’s more fun is to look at the shooting guard position:
JR Smith, Julius Hodge (recovering from being shot) and a bunch of guys I’ve never heard of including Yakhouba Diawara. Who?
I don’t know what to make of this roster. It’s strangely balanced for sure, but it seemed to work well enough to win the division last year. Denver can score with anyone, but can they commit to defense?
Obviously, health is always a big issue with the Nuggets. Last year, they lost Nene for the season on opening night. Kenyon Martin and Marcus Camby were only available for 56 games. Hence, the need for five power forwards.
The good news is that Carmelo Anthony is healthy, happy and enjoying a brand new contract. He had a great summer playing for the U.S. in Japan and is likely headed for another monster season in the Rockies.
The Nuggets remind me a lot of the Nets in the East. They seem like a pretty good bet to win the division, but once they get in the playoffs, they’re in trouble. Remember, this was a team that won the division but didn’t have home court advantage in the first round against a six seed.
I’d expect more of the same this year except thanks to the new playoff format, they’ll be a four seed.
SEATTLE SONICS (2005-2006 record: 35-47. Missed playoffs)
Projected division finish: 2nd
You can’t find a franchise in more turmoil going into a season, but this has nothing to do with on-the-court activities.
Seattle is facing a major basketball crisis, as the Sonics have been sold to a group with strong Oklahoma City ties and speculation is running rampant that this will be the final year in the Pacific Northwest.
I think this will spark a rebound for the Sonics. Remember, this team was the surprise of the league two years ago. They almost beat San Antonio in the playoffs and seemed poised to return to prominence in the Northwest.
However, it all fell apart last year. Seattle couldn’t defend anyone. Everyone seemed to be playing for a new contract. They simply were not very good.
But that’s not to say they don’t have the ability to get back to their 04-05 form. Ray Allen and Rashard Lewis are still around. Chris Wilcox looked phenomenal in a Sonics uniform for the final 29 games of the year. Earl Watson and Luke Ridnour seem poised to push one another at the point guard position.
The major problem for the Sonics is their disastrous center rotation. Robert Swift, Johan Petro and Danny Fortson have not shown any consistency at all, and for the Sonics to succeed, they’re going to need someone to emerge on both ends of the floor.
Like the Nuggets, the Sonics will score. Like the Nuggets, the questions surrounding the Sonics are whether they can play defense.
They’ll challenge for the division crown, but unlike the Nuggets, the Sonics will find themselves sitting at home at playoff time, falling just short in their bid to captivate Seattle for perhaps the last time. The emotional ride will only carry them to second place.
UTAH JAZZ (2005-2006 record: 41-41. Missed Playoffs)
Predicted division finish: 3rd
I feel pretty good about a couple of predictions when it comes to Utah. They will play hard for Jerry Sloan. They will be a team that plays everyone tough. They will have at least two of their key players hurt for an extended period of the season.
Isn’t this how it always goes?
I’ve read many people predicting that this team could be a playoff contender, but I have to say I just don’t see it.
Andrei Kirilenko is a stud. He can do everything well, and he’ll be this teams go-to-guy once again.
Carlos Boozer tries to bounce back from yet another season full of injuries. Boozer can rebound, but he’s an undersized, overrated power forward in my book.
Mehmut Okur will do some scoring, Matt Harpring and Derek Fisher will shoot from the outside, and the Jazz will cross their fingers that Deron Williams can find some confidence.
The way I see it, there’s just too many guys snake bitten by injuries on this roster to get excited and proclaim them playoff contenders. They were .500 last year, and even if they’re healthy, I can’t imagine them being much better this season. There are too many teams in the West who are better.
But I’ll say this: never discount a Jerry Sloan-led team. They tend to look nasty (in a bad way) on paper but overachieve when they hit the floor.
MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES (2005-2006 record: 33-49. Missed playoffs)
Predicted division record:4th
The mission to build a title contender around the Big Ticket continues.
Kevin Garnett is still here and he maintains all he wants to do is win. Yet, Kevin McHale is still trying to find the right pieces to put around him.
This year, he’s turning to Mike James and rookie Randy Foye to deliver. James has a pretty amazing year north of the border last year, averaging 20.3 points per game. However, if you’re going into the season with Mike James as your second scoring option, you’ve got problems.
Randy Foye had one of those super-buzz worthy Summer League sessions, so everyone who follows the Wolves is thrilled. I’m withholding my judgment until he plays a regular season game, but I think he’ll do well in his first year playing with KG.
Everything else: yikes. Ricky Davis is always fun, but he’s Ricky Davis. How can anyone count on a guy who shot at his own basket to try to get the final rebound he needed for a triple-double? Rashad McCants is out until January. Mark Madsen, Mark Blount and Eddie Griffin are going to get big minutes up front. They’re even taking a look at Vin Baker.
The bottom line is that this Timberwolves franchise seems to be going no where fast, and unless James has another fantastic season and Foye develops into an All-Star caliber guard in his rookie season, the only matter being discussed about the Timberwolves will be where Kevin Garnett is playing next season. I’ll join everyone else in predicting it won’t be in the Twin Cities.
PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS (2005-2006 record: 21-61. Missed playoffs)
Predicted division finish: last
This is going to be a bad team.
However, there’s good news. The Blazers had a great draft.
Brandon Roy is going to win the rookie of the year. He could be the Dwayne Wade of the 2006 Draft. That might be overstating it a bit, but he seems ready to step right in and contribute, which is a very good thing in Portland.
LaMarcus Aldridge will come along slower. He’s far too thin and raw to be a factor, but give him time to develop and there’s no question we’ll be looking back at the 2006 Draft as the day Portland turned things around.
The Blazers also did some housecleaning in the off-season, removing Sebastian Telfair, Theo Ratliff, Steve Blake, Viktor Khrypa, Brian Skinner and Ha Seung-Jin from the roster via trades.
Jarrett Jack is now the point guard, although Sergio Rodriguez could end up being the best player at the position a few years from now. Martell Webster is going to improve with playing time, and while Juan Dixon may get more minutes at the shooting guard spot, this is Webster’s position for years to come. Zach Randolph will get some help upfront from Jamaal McGloire and the re-signed Joel Przybilla. Who knows what Darius Miles will do, but he’s great trade bait if they don’t want him.
In other words, the Blazers seem to have their ducks in a row. They’re going to take their bumps with a young roster, but with Roy, Webster, Jack, Aldridge and Przybilla locked in for a while, Portland has put themselves in decent position to rebuild faster than say Minnesota or Philadelphia, and for that reason Blazer fans should be happy. It could be a lot worse.
DENVER NUGGETS (2005-2006 record: 44-38. Lost in round 1 to Clippers)
Projected division finish: 1st
When I took a glance at the depth chart for this year’s team, I was struck by the glut of power forwards:
Kenyon Martin. Nene. Joe Smith. Reggie Evans. Eduardo Najera.
What’s more fun is to look at the shooting guard position:
JR Smith, Julius Hodge (recovering from being shot) and a bunch of guys I’ve never heard of including Yakhouba Diawara. Who?
I don’t know what to make of this roster. It’s strangely balanced for sure, but it seemed to work well enough to win the division last year. Denver can score with anyone, but can they commit to defense?
Obviously, health is always a big issue with the Nuggets. Last year, they lost Nene for the season on opening night. Kenyon Martin and Marcus Camby were only available for 56 games. Hence, the need for five power forwards.
The good news is that Carmelo Anthony is healthy, happy and enjoying a brand new contract. He had a great summer playing for the U.S. in Japan and is likely headed for another monster season in the Rockies.
The Nuggets remind me a lot of the Nets in the East. They seem like a pretty good bet to win the division, but once they get in the playoffs, they’re in trouble. Remember, this was a team that won the division but didn’t have home court advantage in the first round against a six seed.
I’d expect more of the same this year except thanks to the new playoff format, they’ll be a four seed.
SEATTLE SONICS (2005-2006 record: 35-47. Missed playoffs)
Projected division finish: 2nd
You can’t find a franchise in more turmoil going into a season, but this has nothing to do with on-the-court activities.
Seattle is facing a major basketball crisis, as the Sonics have been sold to a group with strong Oklahoma City ties and speculation is running rampant that this will be the final year in the Pacific Northwest.
I think this will spark a rebound for the Sonics. Remember, this team was the surprise of the league two years ago. They almost beat San Antonio in the playoffs and seemed poised to return to prominence in the Northwest.
However, it all fell apart last year. Seattle couldn’t defend anyone. Everyone seemed to be playing for a new contract. They simply were not very good.
But that’s not to say they don’t have the ability to get back to their 04-05 form. Ray Allen and Rashard Lewis are still around. Chris Wilcox looked phenomenal in a Sonics uniform for the final 29 games of the year. Earl Watson and Luke Ridnour seem poised to push one another at the point guard position.
The major problem for the Sonics is their disastrous center rotation. Robert Swift, Johan Petro and Danny Fortson have not shown any consistency at all, and for the Sonics to succeed, they’re going to need someone to emerge on both ends of the floor.
Like the Nuggets, the Sonics will score. Like the Nuggets, the questions surrounding the Sonics are whether they can play defense.
They’ll challenge for the division crown, but unlike the Nuggets, the Sonics will find themselves sitting at home at playoff time, falling just short in their bid to captivate Seattle for perhaps the last time. The emotional ride will only carry them to second place.
UTAH JAZZ (2005-2006 record: 41-41. Missed Playoffs)
Predicted division finish: 3rd
I feel pretty good about a couple of predictions when it comes to Utah. They will play hard for Jerry Sloan. They will be a team that plays everyone tough. They will have at least two of their key players hurt for an extended period of the season.
Isn’t this how it always goes?
I’ve read many people predicting that this team could be a playoff contender, but I have to say I just don’t see it.
Andrei Kirilenko is a stud. He can do everything well, and he’ll be this teams go-to-guy once again.
Carlos Boozer tries to bounce back from yet another season full of injuries. Boozer can rebound, but he’s an undersized, overrated power forward in my book.
Mehmut Okur will do some scoring, Matt Harpring and Derek Fisher will shoot from the outside, and the Jazz will cross their fingers that Deron Williams can find some confidence.
The way I see it, there’s just too many guys snake bitten by injuries on this roster to get excited and proclaim them playoff contenders. They were .500 last year, and even if they’re healthy, I can’t imagine them being much better this season. There are too many teams in the West who are better.
But I’ll say this: never discount a Jerry Sloan-led team. They tend to look nasty (in a bad way) on paper but overachieve when they hit the floor.
MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES (2005-2006 record: 33-49. Missed playoffs)
Predicted division record:4th
The mission to build a title contender around the Big Ticket continues.
Kevin Garnett is still here and he maintains all he wants to do is win. Yet, Kevin McHale is still trying to find the right pieces to put around him.
This year, he’s turning to Mike James and rookie Randy Foye to deliver. James has a pretty amazing year north of the border last year, averaging 20.3 points per game. However, if you’re going into the season with Mike James as your second scoring option, you’ve got problems.
Randy Foye had one of those super-buzz worthy Summer League sessions, so everyone who follows the Wolves is thrilled. I’m withholding my judgment until he plays a regular season game, but I think he’ll do well in his first year playing with KG.
Everything else: yikes. Ricky Davis is always fun, but he’s Ricky Davis. How can anyone count on a guy who shot at his own basket to try to get the final rebound he needed for a triple-double? Rashad McCants is out until January. Mark Madsen, Mark Blount and Eddie Griffin are going to get big minutes up front. They’re even taking a look at Vin Baker.
The bottom line is that this Timberwolves franchise seems to be going no where fast, and unless James has another fantastic season and Foye develops into an All-Star caliber guard in his rookie season, the only matter being discussed about the Timberwolves will be where Kevin Garnett is playing next season. I’ll join everyone else in predicting it won’t be in the Twin Cities.
PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS (2005-2006 record: 21-61. Missed playoffs)
Predicted division finish: last
This is going to be a bad team.
However, there’s good news. The Blazers had a great draft.
Brandon Roy is going to win the rookie of the year. He could be the Dwayne Wade of the 2006 Draft. That might be overstating it a bit, but he seems ready to step right in and contribute, which is a very good thing in Portland.
LaMarcus Aldridge will come along slower. He’s far too thin and raw to be a factor, but give him time to develop and there’s no question we’ll be looking back at the 2006 Draft as the day Portland turned things around.
The Blazers also did some housecleaning in the off-season, removing Sebastian Telfair, Theo Ratliff, Steve Blake, Viktor Khrypa, Brian Skinner and Ha Seung-Jin from the roster via trades.
Jarrett Jack is now the point guard, although Sergio Rodriguez could end up being the best player at the position a few years from now. Martell Webster is going to improve with playing time, and while Juan Dixon may get more minutes at the shooting guard spot, this is Webster’s position for years to come. Zach Randolph will get some help upfront from Jamaal McGloire and the re-signed Joel Przybilla. Who knows what Darius Miles will do, but he’s great trade bait if they don’t want him.
In other words, the Blazers seem to have their ducks in a row. They’re going to take their bumps with a young roster, but with Roy, Webster, Jack, Aldridge and Przybilla locked in for a while, Portland has put themselves in decent position to rebuild faster than say Minnesota or Philadelphia, and for that reason Blazer fans should be happy. It could be a lot worse.
Friday, October 06, 2006
Sunday, October 01, 2006
NBA Preview: Central Division
As we near in on the regular season opener, the season preview continues with a look at the Central division. This is easily one of the NBA’s deepest divisions and could very well end up being the best division in basketball. Some experts even have gone so far as to say the NBA champion will come from the Central. Let’s examine.
CLEVELAND CAVALIERS (2005-2006 record: 50-32 Lost to Detroit in Round 2)
Predicted division finish: 1st
I’m not sure you’ll find a lot of writers who agree with this prediction, but I’m using specific logic to get to this point, so bear with me.
LeBron James is one of the top 5 players in the league. His mere presence makes this team a legit threat to win anything. King James silenced his critics to a certain extent last season when the Cavs both made the playoffs and won a series. Then James and the Cavs almost became a HUGE story when they went the distance with the Pistons in the Eastern Semifinals.
So, it’s time. James is still getting better and he’s finally acclimated to what is around him. He watched his good friend Dwayne Wade carry the Heat to a title. I think James will show the competitive fire his critics have been clamoring for these past few years. He and Wade are about to engage in a Bird/Magic type rivalry for Eastern Conference supremacy if his teammates cooperate the way Wade’s have.
Larry Hughes dealt with personal hardship and injuries last season. Ideally, he should bounce back and be a reliable second scoring option this year. Zydrunas Ilgauskas had an all-star year and stayed injury-free. He’s one of the best centers in the game when he’s healthy.
Damon Jones and Donyell Marshall are keys. Neither shot the ball particularly well last season, but both are capable of doing so if they have the confidence. The Cavs added small amounts of firepower in the off-season by signing David Wesley to play shooting guard and drafting the uber-athletic Shannon Brown. They also kept Drew Gooden and backed him up with Scot Pollard, so they seem to have the pieces to make a run.
Ultimately, how far the Cavs go depends on James. He has the potential to single handedly lead them to the Eastern Conference Finals and maybe even a championship. He has the potential to make everyone around him step up to another level.
I feel very strongly that the Cavs will win this division and here’s my reasoning. The Pistons are weaker without Ben Wallace, so they fall a bit in the standings. The Bulls will be better with Ben Wallace, but they’ll spend the first month or so adapting to their new parts. Indiana is dangerous, but they never seem to be able to put it together. Milwaukee's simply too young to take seriously as a division champion contender right now.
To me, that leaves the Cavs as the team to beat. Much of that depends upon health and whether LeBron can make his supporting cast better, but I like them better than everyone else simply because they have LeBron and no one else does.
CHICAGO BULLS (2005-2006 record: 41-41. Lost to Miami in Round 1)
Predicted division finish: 2nd
No team had a better off-season than the Bulls.
John Paxson got the top free agent out there in Ben Wallace, and in doing so, he seriously damaged a team in his own division. Then, he arguably had the best draft of anyone by trading for the draft’s top athlete, Tyrus Thomas, and finally addressing the team’s need for backcourt size by selecting Thabo Sefolosha of Switzerland.
If that wasn’t enough, he found a taker for Tyson Chandler and his sizeable contract and got some veteran leadership back in P.J. Brown.
However, people seem to have lost sight of the fact that this was a .500 team last year. They have great pieces in Kirk Hinrich, Ben Gordon, Luol Deng, Andres Nocioni and Chris Duhon, but since Michael Jordan left the Windy City, the Bulls have lacked a go-to scorer who can deliver when they need one. Unless one of the players just mentioned steps into that role, they still don’t have one.
The addition of Wallace, Brown and Adrian Griffin make this team wiser and better defensively, but they were already good defensively. None of the additions solve their main flaws, which are a lack of low post scoring and clutch scoring. Will Ben Wallace even be on the floor in close games with his horrible free throw shooting?
This sounds more negative than I really feel about the Bulls. I love that Paxson and head coach Scott Skiles have turned this franchise around. Will the Bulls be considerably better than they were a year ago? Absolutely. Should Bulls fans be excited? Absolutely. Will they win the East or the NBA title this year? I don’t think so.
Here’s a fun piece of trivia. The last time a team went from losing in the first round of the playoffs to winning the NBA title the next year was the 1981 Los Angeles Lakers. That was the year they added a rookie named Magic Johnson. In the NBA, it takes time to build a championship team. History indicates that you don’t just add parts to a .500 team and go from gritty 7-seeds that push the Heat, but ultimately lose, to NBA champions in one year.
So, pencil the Bulls in for 7-10 more wins than last year and a playoff series win or two. There’s little doubt they’re headed in the right direction, but Chicago won’t be a title contender until next year at the earliest.
DETROIT PISTONS (2005-2006 record: 64-18 Lost to Miami in Eastern Finals)
Predicted division finish: 3rd
It’s been a tough off-season for Pistons fans.
First, they had to deal with going from “best team ever” talk to not making the NBA Finals.
Then, the team lost its heart and soul when Ben Wallace left for boatloads of money in Chicago.
However, there’s still plenty to like about this team. They still have Rip Hamilton, Chauncey Billups, Tayshaun Prince and Rasheed Wallace. The Pistons made a concerted effort to become more offensive-minded last season, and that will only help them now that they’ve lost their best defender.
Big Ben’s departure hurts, but there’s still a very strong starting lineup when you add in the perfectly serviceable Nazr Muhammed. I’m sure Flip Saunders will use Antonio McDyess with the foursome quite a bit as well to create a very difficult small lineup.
Joe Dumars may end up regretting his Darko Milicic trade and not re-signing Mehmut Okur now that Ben Wallace is gone, but he’s still put together a very good basketball team. His main mission this off-season was to find a bench for Saunders to use, and the addition of Flip Murray through free agency should help. Big questions remain as to whether Jason Maxiell can give them quality minutes and what role Carlos Delfino will play after allegedly wanting out.
The Pistons will fall back within the pack without Ben Wallace, but this is still a very dangerous team. I’m picking them third, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see them higher when the season is over.
The biggest concern for Pistons fans is Flip Saunders’ coaching track record in the postseason. That didn’t change last year, and until he proves he can win the big series, I don’t think it’ll be changing anytime in the near future.
So, let’s nutshell this. The Pistons are a good regular season team that won’t win 64 games again, but probably are still good for 50-55. In the postseason, they’re gone in round 2.
INDIANA PACERS (2005-2006 record: 41-41 Lost in round 1 to New Jersey)
Predicted division finish: 4th
The Pacers had a very interesting season last year. They were banged up all year. They never seemed to get on track. And yet, when it counted, they pushed New Jersey to six games.
In the off-season, the Pacers reloaded their roster to the point that as I’m writing this, they have 18 guys under contract.
Jermaine O’Neal was the focus of a lot of trade rumors, but he’s still a Pacer, and he seems to be healthy coming into the season. He will find a lot of new weapons along side him. His good friend Al Harrington is back in the fold after he was acquired for nothing from Atlanta. Look for Harrington to thrive next to O’Neal since he can go back to being on a team that matters and won’t have to worry about being “the man.”
Marquis Daniels and Darrell Armstrong came over from Dallas via trades and add good depth in the backcourt. The Pacers also drafted very well by grabbing forward Shawne Williams from Memphis and James White from Cincinnati.
With a nucleus of O’Neal, Harrington, Jamaal Tinsley, Stephen Jackson and second-year man Danny Granger, the Pacers seem to be in a good position for a return trip to the postseason. To me, they seem more like the team you don’t want to play in the first round than anything more substantial.
MILWAUKEE BUCKS (2005-2006 record: 40-42. Lost in Round 1 to Detroit)
Predicted division finish: Last
The Milwaukee Bucks have a new logo and new uniforms for the upcoming season, but that’s not the only makeover facing the franchise.
T.J. Ford, Jamaal McGloire and Joe Smith are gone, and in return the Bucks added Steve Blake, Brian Skinner, Charlie Villenueva and Ruben Patterson.
Villenueva is the key addition from the group. He looked great in his rookie season in Toronto, and he could be a force to be reckoned with lined up along side Andrew Bogut, who will move to his natural position at center.
Micheal Redd is back to pour in the points from the outside, while Bobby Simmons adds some offensive firepower from the small forward position.
One of the big questions will be whether Mo Williams can adequately run the point, but Blake has shown he can be a serviceable backup just in case.
This is a very young team, but the Bucks have a load of talent other teams in the bottom half of the East can only dream about. Milwaukee will find itself in contention for the postseason again unless their youth catches up with them.
CLEVELAND CAVALIERS (2005-2006 record: 50-32 Lost to Detroit in Round 2)
Predicted division finish: 1st
I’m not sure you’ll find a lot of writers who agree with this prediction, but I’m using specific logic to get to this point, so bear with me.
LeBron James is one of the top 5 players in the league. His mere presence makes this team a legit threat to win anything. King James silenced his critics to a certain extent last season when the Cavs both made the playoffs and won a series. Then James and the Cavs almost became a HUGE story when they went the distance with the Pistons in the Eastern Semifinals.
So, it’s time. James is still getting better and he’s finally acclimated to what is around him. He watched his good friend Dwayne Wade carry the Heat to a title. I think James will show the competitive fire his critics have been clamoring for these past few years. He and Wade are about to engage in a Bird/Magic type rivalry for Eastern Conference supremacy if his teammates cooperate the way Wade’s have.
Larry Hughes dealt with personal hardship and injuries last season. Ideally, he should bounce back and be a reliable second scoring option this year. Zydrunas Ilgauskas had an all-star year and stayed injury-free. He’s one of the best centers in the game when he’s healthy.
Damon Jones and Donyell Marshall are keys. Neither shot the ball particularly well last season, but both are capable of doing so if they have the confidence. The Cavs added small amounts of firepower in the off-season by signing David Wesley to play shooting guard and drafting the uber-athletic Shannon Brown. They also kept Drew Gooden and backed him up with Scot Pollard, so they seem to have the pieces to make a run.
Ultimately, how far the Cavs go depends on James. He has the potential to single handedly lead them to the Eastern Conference Finals and maybe even a championship. He has the potential to make everyone around him step up to another level.
I feel very strongly that the Cavs will win this division and here’s my reasoning. The Pistons are weaker without Ben Wallace, so they fall a bit in the standings. The Bulls will be better with Ben Wallace, but they’ll spend the first month or so adapting to their new parts. Indiana is dangerous, but they never seem to be able to put it together. Milwaukee's simply too young to take seriously as a division champion contender right now.
To me, that leaves the Cavs as the team to beat. Much of that depends upon health and whether LeBron can make his supporting cast better, but I like them better than everyone else simply because they have LeBron and no one else does.
CHICAGO BULLS (2005-2006 record: 41-41. Lost to Miami in Round 1)
Predicted division finish: 2nd
No team had a better off-season than the Bulls.
John Paxson got the top free agent out there in Ben Wallace, and in doing so, he seriously damaged a team in his own division. Then, he arguably had the best draft of anyone by trading for the draft’s top athlete, Tyrus Thomas, and finally addressing the team’s need for backcourt size by selecting Thabo Sefolosha of Switzerland.
If that wasn’t enough, he found a taker for Tyson Chandler and his sizeable contract and got some veteran leadership back in P.J. Brown.
However, people seem to have lost sight of the fact that this was a .500 team last year. They have great pieces in Kirk Hinrich, Ben Gordon, Luol Deng, Andres Nocioni and Chris Duhon, but since Michael Jordan left the Windy City, the Bulls have lacked a go-to scorer who can deliver when they need one. Unless one of the players just mentioned steps into that role, they still don’t have one.
The addition of Wallace, Brown and Adrian Griffin make this team wiser and better defensively, but they were already good defensively. None of the additions solve their main flaws, which are a lack of low post scoring and clutch scoring. Will Ben Wallace even be on the floor in close games with his horrible free throw shooting?
This sounds more negative than I really feel about the Bulls. I love that Paxson and head coach Scott Skiles have turned this franchise around. Will the Bulls be considerably better than they were a year ago? Absolutely. Should Bulls fans be excited? Absolutely. Will they win the East or the NBA title this year? I don’t think so.
Here’s a fun piece of trivia. The last time a team went from losing in the first round of the playoffs to winning the NBA title the next year was the 1981 Los Angeles Lakers. That was the year they added a rookie named Magic Johnson. In the NBA, it takes time to build a championship team. History indicates that you don’t just add parts to a .500 team and go from gritty 7-seeds that push the Heat, but ultimately lose, to NBA champions in one year.
So, pencil the Bulls in for 7-10 more wins than last year and a playoff series win or two. There’s little doubt they’re headed in the right direction, but Chicago won’t be a title contender until next year at the earliest.
DETROIT PISTONS (2005-2006 record: 64-18 Lost to Miami in Eastern Finals)
Predicted division finish: 3rd
It’s been a tough off-season for Pistons fans.
First, they had to deal with going from “best team ever” talk to not making the NBA Finals.
Then, the team lost its heart and soul when Ben Wallace left for boatloads of money in Chicago.
However, there’s still plenty to like about this team. They still have Rip Hamilton, Chauncey Billups, Tayshaun Prince and Rasheed Wallace. The Pistons made a concerted effort to become more offensive-minded last season, and that will only help them now that they’ve lost their best defender.
Big Ben’s departure hurts, but there’s still a very strong starting lineup when you add in the perfectly serviceable Nazr Muhammed. I’m sure Flip Saunders will use Antonio McDyess with the foursome quite a bit as well to create a very difficult small lineup.
Joe Dumars may end up regretting his Darko Milicic trade and not re-signing Mehmut Okur now that Ben Wallace is gone, but he’s still put together a very good basketball team. His main mission this off-season was to find a bench for Saunders to use, and the addition of Flip Murray through free agency should help. Big questions remain as to whether Jason Maxiell can give them quality minutes and what role Carlos Delfino will play after allegedly wanting out.
The Pistons will fall back within the pack without Ben Wallace, but this is still a very dangerous team. I’m picking them third, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see them higher when the season is over.
The biggest concern for Pistons fans is Flip Saunders’ coaching track record in the postseason. That didn’t change last year, and until he proves he can win the big series, I don’t think it’ll be changing anytime in the near future.
So, let’s nutshell this. The Pistons are a good regular season team that won’t win 64 games again, but probably are still good for 50-55. In the postseason, they’re gone in round 2.
INDIANA PACERS (2005-2006 record: 41-41 Lost in round 1 to New Jersey)
Predicted division finish: 4th
The Pacers had a very interesting season last year. They were banged up all year. They never seemed to get on track. And yet, when it counted, they pushed New Jersey to six games.
In the off-season, the Pacers reloaded their roster to the point that as I’m writing this, they have 18 guys under contract.
Jermaine O’Neal was the focus of a lot of trade rumors, but he’s still a Pacer, and he seems to be healthy coming into the season. He will find a lot of new weapons along side him. His good friend Al Harrington is back in the fold after he was acquired for nothing from Atlanta. Look for Harrington to thrive next to O’Neal since he can go back to being on a team that matters and won’t have to worry about being “the man.”
Marquis Daniels and Darrell Armstrong came over from Dallas via trades and add good depth in the backcourt. The Pacers also drafted very well by grabbing forward Shawne Williams from Memphis and James White from Cincinnati.
With a nucleus of O’Neal, Harrington, Jamaal Tinsley, Stephen Jackson and second-year man Danny Granger, the Pacers seem to be in a good position for a return trip to the postseason. To me, they seem more like the team you don’t want to play in the first round than anything more substantial.
MILWAUKEE BUCKS (2005-2006 record: 40-42. Lost in Round 1 to Detroit)
Predicted division finish: Last
The Milwaukee Bucks have a new logo and new uniforms for the upcoming season, but that’s not the only makeover facing the franchise.
T.J. Ford, Jamaal McGloire and Joe Smith are gone, and in return the Bucks added Steve Blake, Brian Skinner, Charlie Villenueva and Ruben Patterson.
Villenueva is the key addition from the group. He looked great in his rookie season in Toronto, and he could be a force to be reckoned with lined up along side Andrew Bogut, who will move to his natural position at center.
Micheal Redd is back to pour in the points from the outside, while Bobby Simmons adds some offensive firepower from the small forward position.
One of the big questions will be whether Mo Williams can adequately run the point, but Blake has shown he can be a serviceable backup just in case.
This is a very young team, but the Bucks have a load of talent other teams in the bottom half of the East can only dream about. Milwaukee will find itself in contention for the postseason again unless their youth catches up with them.
Tuesday, September 26, 2006
NBA Preview: Atlantic Division
As we continue our trip around the league, part two of this massive undertaking leads us to the Atlantic Division.
Upon further reflection, I may have come down a little hard on the Southeast division. The Atlantic was arguably worse last year as the Knicks disgraced their city and history with a 23-59 season - good enough to earn them the title of worst team in the conference.
This year’s Atlantic division doesn’t seem to have an NBA-title contender, but improvement for some of it’s teams looms on the horizon.
NEW JERSEY NETS (2005-2006 record: 49-33. Lost in Round 2 to Miami)
Predicted division finish: 1st
The Nets are a team that must be hard to follow.
There’s plenty of good happening with this franchise. Jason Kidd, Vince Carter and Richard Jefferson are one of the best threesomes in the league. They had a stellar draft by flat out stealing Marcus Williams.
Yet, coming into the season, New Jersey’s ceiling seems to be to win the Atlantic.
There are too many holes up front. Nenad Krstic can hit a 12-foot jumper, but when they need a post game he’s no where to be found. They brought in Mikki Moore via trade to help out Jason Collins, which means that they are horrible up front.
The problem with New Jersey is they’re not as good as every other elite team in the East. They won’t beat Miami, Chicago, or Cleveland in a playoff series, so if you’re a fan of this team, I guess you can feel good about another Atlantic title.
That much seems like a lock, but with Vince Carter becoming a free agent after the season and Jason Kidd’s knee getting worse by the year, the championship window has closed for the time being.
NEW YORK KNICKS (2005-2006 record: 29-53. Missed playoffs)
Predicted division finish: 2nd
I know what you’re thinking as you read this, and no, I haven’t lost my mind.
At least I don’t think I have.
Hear me out.
The Knicks humiliated themselves last year. The whole city of New York was disgraced. The players quit on Larry Brown. Larry Brown quit on the players. Bloggers mocked Isiah Thomas incessantly. Frankly, they had good reason since Isiah assembled this disaster and decided that a backcourt of Stephon Marbury and Steve Francis was a good idea.
I know there are major problems with the franchise, and I’m not for one second arguing that point.
However, this is a make or break time for everyone involved. Zeke moving to the bench is a constant reminder of last year’s failure. This collection of $100 million talent has to have some heart left somewhere, right? If so, then there’s no way they’re letting Isiah Thomas go down in flames. It just won’t happen.
With Marbury, Francis, Eddy Curry, Channing Frye, Jalen Rose, David Lee, Jared Jeffries, Jamal Crawford, Nate Robinson and Renaldo Balkman, there’s too much talent for them to be this bad, right? (If you think I'm serious about Balkman, please stop reading this site)
I don’t know if they’ll make the playoffs, but they’ll restore some respect to a once proud franchise.
If they don’t, then it’s going to be fantastically awful. I don’t think it’s possible for this season to be more fun either way in New York. I mean, Isiah gets to shut up his critics or he’s gone once and for all.
That, my friends, is an intriguing season.
BOSTON CELTICS (2005-2006 record: 33-49. Missed playoffs)
Predicted division finish: 3rd
Danny Ainge is going about his job as GM in a unique way.
While his counterpart in Chicago, John Paxson, keeps trying to find players who are winners from established college programs, Ainge is going the opposite route. He wants high schoolers and he wants a lot of them.
Kendrick Perkins. Al Jefferson. Gerald Green.
His latest addition is Sebastian Telfair, who Boston acquired in a trade with Portland.
So what does it all mean? Well, it means the Celtics are two years away from being anything.
Paul Pierce averaged nearly 27 points per game last year, but he has no veteran help. Wally Szczerbiak is too injury-prone to be the second option, and everyone else is too young to be counted on night in and night out.
There’s good potential here and seemingly a lot of athleticism, but I’d be more excited about the Celtics if Ainge had pulled off the rumored Allen Iverson trade this summer. Pierce and AI could have been a lethal combo, and I think Ainge could have done it without sacrificing all of his youngsters.
Instead, Pierce is left to shoulder the load with a lot of question marks surrounding him. If Delonte West, Tony Allen, Jefferson, Telfair and Perkins make huge strides this season, Boston has an outside shot at making the playoffs, but I think it’s more realistic to focus on next year.
At least they have cheerleaders now!
PHILADELPHIA 76ers (2005-2006 record: 38-44. Missed playoffs)
Predicted division finish: 4th
Do the Sixers either make or miss the playoffs by one or two games every year?
It seems that way to me.
I have good news for Sixers fans: that torture won’t be there this year.
On paper, this team is the same team it is every year. Allen Iverson will do everything possible to help them win. He’ll try to get Chris Webber and Andre Iguodala involved in the offense, but they’ll be inconsistent in the role. Kyle Korver will shoot some 3s. Samuel Dalembert will block some shots and remind everyone that Billy King probably overpaid to keep him.
Honestly, the only difference in 2006-07 from those of the past is that other Eastern Conference teams are better than them now. I think Orlando and New York should finish with better records, so that means no postseason again in Philly.
Frankly, I’m of the opinion that Iverson should have been moved and still should be moved. This team is going nowhere but down, so you might as well get something for him while you can.
TORONTO RAPTORS (2005-2006 record: 27-55. Missed playoffs)
Predicted division finish: Last
If this summer taught me anything, it’s that the rest of the world is getting very, very good at playing the game of basketball.
This could be good news for the Toronto Raptors.
New GM Bryan Colangelo used the first pick in the 2006 Draft to select Andrea Bargnani from Italy. Then, he brought in Jose Calderon and Jorge Garbajosa from Spain and gave Anthony Parker another shot at NBA stardom after years playing for Israel Maccabi Tel Aviv. As if that wasn’t enough Euro flavor, Colangelo also made a trade for Rasho Nesterovic.
I would be completely lying to you if I told you I had seen Bargnani, Calderon, Garbajosa or Parker play. However, I know that Spain won the World Championships, so half of that group must be decent.
Colangelo’s other huge move of the summer was trading Charlie Villenueva to Milwaukee for point guard T.J. Ford. It’s clear from these moves that the Raptors want to get up and down the floor, and they’ll probably be exciting to watch.
All that matters is whether Chris Bosh likes this movement. He seems to be fine with it, so that’s a positive for the Raptors. It’s hard to predict whether they’ll be better than the Sixers or the Celtics when I haven’t seen half the roster play, so that’s why I have them last, but frankly, I could see them being better than one of those teams.
Upon further reflection, I may have come down a little hard on the Southeast division. The Atlantic was arguably worse last year as the Knicks disgraced their city and history with a 23-59 season - good enough to earn them the title of worst team in the conference.
This year’s Atlantic division doesn’t seem to have an NBA-title contender, but improvement for some of it’s teams looms on the horizon.
NEW JERSEY NETS (2005-2006 record: 49-33. Lost in Round 2 to Miami)
Predicted division finish: 1st
The Nets are a team that must be hard to follow.
There’s plenty of good happening with this franchise. Jason Kidd, Vince Carter and Richard Jefferson are one of the best threesomes in the league. They had a stellar draft by flat out stealing Marcus Williams.
Yet, coming into the season, New Jersey’s ceiling seems to be to win the Atlantic.
There are too many holes up front. Nenad Krstic can hit a 12-foot jumper, but when they need a post game he’s no where to be found. They brought in Mikki Moore via trade to help out Jason Collins, which means that they are horrible up front.
The problem with New Jersey is they’re not as good as every other elite team in the East. They won’t beat Miami, Chicago, or Cleveland in a playoff series, so if you’re a fan of this team, I guess you can feel good about another Atlantic title.
That much seems like a lock, but with Vince Carter becoming a free agent after the season and Jason Kidd’s knee getting worse by the year, the championship window has closed for the time being.
NEW YORK KNICKS (2005-2006 record: 29-53. Missed playoffs)
Predicted division finish: 2nd
I know what you’re thinking as you read this, and no, I haven’t lost my mind.
At least I don’t think I have.
Hear me out.
The Knicks humiliated themselves last year. The whole city of New York was disgraced. The players quit on Larry Brown. Larry Brown quit on the players. Bloggers mocked Isiah Thomas incessantly. Frankly, they had good reason since Isiah assembled this disaster and decided that a backcourt of Stephon Marbury and Steve Francis was a good idea.
I know there are major problems with the franchise, and I’m not for one second arguing that point.
However, this is a make or break time for everyone involved. Zeke moving to the bench is a constant reminder of last year’s failure. This collection of $100 million talent has to have some heart left somewhere, right? If so, then there’s no way they’re letting Isiah Thomas go down in flames. It just won’t happen.
With Marbury, Francis, Eddy Curry, Channing Frye, Jalen Rose, David Lee, Jared Jeffries, Jamal Crawford, Nate Robinson and Renaldo Balkman, there’s too much talent for them to be this bad, right? (If you think I'm serious about Balkman, please stop reading this site)
I don’t know if they’ll make the playoffs, but they’ll restore some respect to a once proud franchise.
If they don’t, then it’s going to be fantastically awful. I don’t think it’s possible for this season to be more fun either way in New York. I mean, Isiah gets to shut up his critics or he’s gone once and for all.
That, my friends, is an intriguing season.
BOSTON CELTICS (2005-2006 record: 33-49. Missed playoffs)
Predicted division finish: 3rd
Danny Ainge is going about his job as GM in a unique way.
While his counterpart in Chicago, John Paxson, keeps trying to find players who are winners from established college programs, Ainge is going the opposite route. He wants high schoolers and he wants a lot of them.
Kendrick Perkins. Al Jefferson. Gerald Green.
His latest addition is Sebastian Telfair, who Boston acquired in a trade with Portland.
So what does it all mean? Well, it means the Celtics are two years away from being anything.
Paul Pierce averaged nearly 27 points per game last year, but he has no veteran help. Wally Szczerbiak is too injury-prone to be the second option, and everyone else is too young to be counted on night in and night out.
There’s good potential here and seemingly a lot of athleticism, but I’d be more excited about the Celtics if Ainge had pulled off the rumored Allen Iverson trade this summer. Pierce and AI could have been a lethal combo, and I think Ainge could have done it without sacrificing all of his youngsters.
Instead, Pierce is left to shoulder the load with a lot of question marks surrounding him. If Delonte West, Tony Allen, Jefferson, Telfair and Perkins make huge strides this season, Boston has an outside shot at making the playoffs, but I think it’s more realistic to focus on next year.
At least they have cheerleaders now!
PHILADELPHIA 76ers (2005-2006 record: 38-44. Missed playoffs)
Predicted division finish: 4th
Do the Sixers either make or miss the playoffs by one or two games every year?
It seems that way to me.
I have good news for Sixers fans: that torture won’t be there this year.
On paper, this team is the same team it is every year. Allen Iverson will do everything possible to help them win. He’ll try to get Chris Webber and Andre Iguodala involved in the offense, but they’ll be inconsistent in the role. Kyle Korver will shoot some 3s. Samuel Dalembert will block some shots and remind everyone that Billy King probably overpaid to keep him.
Honestly, the only difference in 2006-07 from those of the past is that other Eastern Conference teams are better than them now. I think Orlando and New York should finish with better records, so that means no postseason again in Philly.
Frankly, I’m of the opinion that Iverson should have been moved and still should be moved. This team is going nowhere but down, so you might as well get something for him while you can.
TORONTO RAPTORS (2005-2006 record: 27-55. Missed playoffs)
Predicted division finish: Last
If this summer taught me anything, it’s that the rest of the world is getting very, very good at playing the game of basketball.
This could be good news for the Toronto Raptors.
New GM Bryan Colangelo used the first pick in the 2006 Draft to select Andrea Bargnani from Italy. Then, he brought in Jose Calderon and Jorge Garbajosa from Spain and gave Anthony Parker another shot at NBA stardom after years playing for Israel Maccabi Tel Aviv. As if that wasn’t enough Euro flavor, Colangelo also made a trade for Rasho Nesterovic.
I would be completely lying to you if I told you I had seen Bargnani, Calderon, Garbajosa or Parker play. However, I know that Spain won the World Championships, so half of that group must be decent.
Colangelo’s other huge move of the summer was trading Charlie Villenueva to Milwaukee for point guard T.J. Ford. It’s clear from these moves that the Raptors want to get up and down the floor, and they’ll probably be exciting to watch.
All that matters is whether Chris Bosh likes this movement. He seems to be fine with it, so that’s a positive for the Raptors. It’s hard to predict whether they’ll be better than the Sixers or the Celtics when I haven’t seen half the roster play, so that’s why I have them last, but frankly, I could see them being better than one of those teams.
Friday, September 15, 2006
NBA Preview: Southeast Divison
To kick off the big NBA season preview, I feel I should provide some warnings to you the readers.
I am horrible at predictions. Awful. I’m the guy who said there was no way Miami would win the title, even though I knew full well that Dwayne Wade was a series-changing caliber superstar who could get every call known to man.
I’m the guy who truly believed that Team USA would win the gold. Whoops.
I’m also the same man who laughed and laughed at the thought of a Lakers team led by Shaq, Kobe, Malone, and Payton losing to the no-superstar Pistons in 2004. Clearly, I’m still not over that one.
So, that brings us to today and the start of an eight-part NBA preview. You’ll get my predictions on all six divisions, and then we’ll break down the playoffs for each conference.
You’ve been warned.
I would not run out to Vegas and put money on anything written here. However, I’m hopeful this is the year that I’m right about something since multiple people (thanks to all 8 of you) are reading this.
And really, what better place to start than arguably the NBA’s worst division and certainly the easiest to predict: The Southeast division.
MIAMI HEAT (2005-2006 record: 52-30. Won NBA Championship)
Predicted division finish: 1st
The defending NBA Champions bring back essentially the same team from 2005-2006. The anchors remain Dwayne Wade and Shaquille O’Neal. The “role players” remain Antoine Walker, Alonzo Mourning, James Posey, Jason Williams, Udonis Haslem and Gary Payton.
Much to my surprise, this actually worked last year. I’m still not sure how.
If you watched the Heat at all during the regular season, they were the biggest Jekyll and Hyde team in the league. On certain nights, it looked as though they could beat anyone. Then the following game, they’d be blown out at home by the Warriors. Do you realize the defending NBA champs finished one game over .500 on the road?
I guess the obvious answer to how it worked is that Dwayne Wade became the game’s best player and one heck of a playoff closer. For three straight years now, he’s been the top postseason superstar, yet no one wants to acknowledge this has been going on that long. He carried a Miami team that arguably had no business being in the playoffs to the second round in 2003-2004. If he’s healthy for Games 6 and 7 of the 04-05 Conference Finals, I’m convinced the Heat would have beaten the Pistons and Stan Van Gundy might still have a job. And then last year, well, if you don’t know then stop coming to this web site.
Wade’s continued emergence as THE guy in the league means that Shaquille O’Neal’s not so subtle fall to better than average big man is not so important. This is D-Wade’s team. Everyone knows it. Shaq will give what he has left, but the Heat can only repeat if Wade is healthy.
The supporting cast is old. Shaq, Zo, Payton, maybe Williams have all seen their prime come and go. The question for this franchise now is whether they can squeeze one more title out before they need to rebuild.
To me, the answer to that question doesn’t even rely on those players.
Udonis Haslem, James Posey and Antoine Walker need quality seasons for a repeat to take place. Their consistency is key for a team that finally defined everyone’s role in the playoffs. If Haslem can continue to get better at rebounding and finishing and Posey can be the team’s lockdown defender and three-point weapon, and if Antoine Walker plays within himself and remembers to drive to the basket instead of taking horrid 3s, then this could work again.
One more thing to watch for is the development of Dorrell Wright and Wayne Simien. Both should get more minutes this season, and both players are important to building something around Dwayne Wade in the future. Wright got rave reviews in Summer League play, and the word is that he’ll be worked into a deep guard rotation.
Here’s a prediction you can take to the bank. The Heat will win at least 50 games and will win this Southeast Division handily. What they do after that is what everyone is waiting to see.
WASHINGTON WIZARDS (2005-2006 record: 42-40. Lost in first round to Cavs)
Predicted division finish: 2nd
The Washington Wizards are one of those teams that seem to be treading water in the NBA. They’ve finished in the middle of the Eastern Conference playoff pack in each of the last two seasons. They’ve got some serious talent on their roster. However, they seem to have gone as far as they can go when you match them up with the rest of the Eastern Conference.
Gilbert Arenas, Antawn Jamison and Caron Butler make up a pretty darn good three-headed scoring monster. Arenas is always out to prove someone wrong, and I’m sure he’s fired up after being cut from the US World Championship roster. The issue for the Wizards is that while Arenas, Jamison and Butler can put points on the board, they struggle in other aspects of the game.
Who will run the show on this team? Who will grab the key rebounds? Who will make the big defensive stop?
I don’t know. They lost their best defender when Jared Jeffries bolted to New York. They replaced him with DeShawn Stevenson. That’s a downgrade.
Sometimes stats jump out at you. Here’s one that would scare me a lot if I were a Wizards fan. When the opposition scored 100 points or more last year, the Wizards were 11-30. When the Wizards scored 100 points or more they were 28-16. They’re not winning the shootouts.
They still are a complete mess in the frontcourt. Brendan Haywood is tall, so he’s got that going for him. He averages just fewer than 6 rebounds a game. That is not so good. Etan Thomas has shown flashes of being a stud, but he hasn’t put it together for prolonged stretches. They added Darius Songaila thru free agency. Songaila is solid, but his weaknesses fit with everyone else’s weaknesses so I can’t see how he makes them better.
Jamison and Butler can’t be the teams rebound leaders if this is going to work. Someone else is going to have to become of factor night in and night out, and I can’t find a player on this roster that jumps out to fill this role.
For the Wizards to succeed and return to the playoffs as a 4 or 5 seed, they’ll need to make a big commitment to defense. They can score with the best of them, but with Cleveland, Chicago, Miami, Detroit and New Jersey all likely to finish ahead of them in the Eastern Conference, a first round exit looms as a successful season for Washington.
ORLANDO MAGIC (2005-2006 record: 36-46. Missed playoffs)
Predicted division finish: 3rd
Now here’s a team that excites me.
If there’s one NBA franchise poised to break out in 2006-2007, it is the Orlando Magic.
Now that I’ve gotten the hyperbole out of my system, here is my reasoning.
Dwight Howard is about to do become one of the top big men in the league. It’s amazing to think that there was actually debate over whether Howard or Emeka Okefor should be the top pick in the 2005 draft.
If you watched Howard play at the end of last season or in Japan at the World Championships, you saw a guy with serious potential to average 20 points and 15 rebounds per game (I want to write 20/20 but that’s ridiculous, right?). He’s a defensive powerhouse with tremendous shot blocking ability. The scary part of all of this is he’s only going to get better. He’s 20. This will be his 3rd NBA season. I am predicting a big time breakout season from Howard, and Orlando should be excited about it.
In addition to Dwight Howard, the rest of the roster features young talent that seemed to prosper under Brian Hill’s tutelage late last season. Darko Milicic has no pressure on him. If he becomes anything close to what he was projected to be then Orlando is in great shape for years. If he isn’t, they gave up Kelvin Cato. Darko is in the perfect situation. He’s playing along side one of the game’s brightest future stars and no one’s set up for a positive season more than the #2 pick in the 2003 draft.
They have good depth at point guard with Jameer Nelson and Carlos Arroyo manning the position. Nelson is a tad undersized for the NBA, but he’s a warrior. Arroyo made the U.S. look horrible in international play, and if he can look half as good in the NBA, the Magic should be in fine shape. They also brought Keyon Dooling back in free agency, so there’s good depth in the backcourt.
J.J. Redick comes to Orlando with tons of baggage. He’s got a bad back, he’s got a DUI conviction and he’s got a ton of knocks on his game. But much like Darko, Redick finds himself in a nice situation. Dwight Howard is going to have to be doubled constantly, so the odds of Redick finding himself wide open are pretty good. The Magic isn’t in denial here. They brought Redick in because he can shoot the basketball and if he knocks down his open looks, he can be a dangerous asset.
The problems are obvious. They’re young. They probably won’t defend very well. Grant Hill will get hurt and they’ll rely on Hedo Turkoglu and Trevor Ariza to play lots of minutes. With all of that said, I still like them a lot. I might be a year early here, but this team feels like a 7 or 8 seed to me.
CHARLOTTE BOBCATS (2005-06 record: 26-56. Missed playoffs)
Predicted division finish: 4th
If the Charlotte Bobcats were a college basketball team, Dick Vitale would be screaming at you about how sensational they will be this season. Sadly for everyone, no one can hear Dicky V in Charlotte.
There is some talent here.
Emeka Okefor will one day be an above average player if he can stay healthy. He only played in 26 games a year ago, but he averaged a double-double. With work and health, he could be an Elton Brand like player in a few years.
Gerald Wallace has emerged into a pretty reliable scorer since coming to Charlotte in the expansion draft. He’s also a defensive threat after leading the league in steals per game a year ago. At 24, he’s still improving in all aspects of his game.
Sean May is another big man who suffered from injury problems. His hard work and rebounding will be a nice addition if he can bounce back healthy.
Raymond Felton had a very nice rookie season, averaging 12 points and 6 assists. If he has some healthy big men to feed, he could enjoy an excellent sophomore campaign.
Then there’s rookie Adam Morrison. He has horrendous facial hair. I mean it’s so bad EA Sports made it a marketing campaign for NBA Live 07. While I feel Morrison should shave, his offensive skills are in no way in need of a makeover. He’s fearless with the rock in his hands, and that’s what the Bobcats have been missing. Like Okefor and Felton, he’s also a fierce competitor who should help spark a turnaround over time. I’m sure Michael Jordan’s new role with the franchise will also help the team’s competitive drive, especially since there’s no way he’ll come out of retirement again. Right? Please make sure of this!
The good news is that they’re getting better. With healthy seasons from key players, it’s not unrealistic to think the Bobcats might finish ahead of the Hawks in this division.
ATLANTA HAWKS (2005-2006 record: 26-56. Missed playoffs)
Predicted division finish: Last
The Hawks are a mess.
They made a huge mistake last year by passing on Chris Paul in the draft. The whole Joe Johnson for Boris Diaw thing sort of opened some people’s eyes.
But this is a new year! They’ve solved the point guard problem by bringing in Speedy Claxton. Can you hear the buzz?
They passed up Randy Foye and Brandon Roy (remember, they don’t need guard help) to draft Shelden Williams from Duke. Why add sizzle when you can add boring and adequate?
Look, I don’t mean to kill Claxton and Williams. They’re fine additions. They just don’t excite me.
Al Harrington is gone in exchange for a future 1st-round pick. I like the idea of moving Harrington, since it opens the door for Marvin Williams to get lots of minutes. However, to not get anyone who can step in and play immediately seems odd for a team with this many holes.
Unless Joe Johnson REALLY lives up to his contract or all the youth makes giant leaps overnight, this is going to be another long season in the ATL. Good thing no one there remembers the Hawks are still around.
I am horrible at predictions. Awful. I’m the guy who said there was no way Miami would win the title, even though I knew full well that Dwayne Wade was a series-changing caliber superstar who could get every call known to man.
I’m the guy who truly believed that Team USA would win the gold. Whoops.
I’m also the same man who laughed and laughed at the thought of a Lakers team led by Shaq, Kobe, Malone, and Payton losing to the no-superstar Pistons in 2004. Clearly, I’m still not over that one.
So, that brings us to today and the start of an eight-part NBA preview. You’ll get my predictions on all six divisions, and then we’ll break down the playoffs for each conference.
You’ve been warned.
I would not run out to Vegas and put money on anything written here. However, I’m hopeful this is the year that I’m right about something since multiple people (thanks to all 8 of you) are reading this.
And really, what better place to start than arguably the NBA’s worst division and certainly the easiest to predict: The Southeast division.
MIAMI HEAT (2005-2006 record: 52-30. Won NBA Championship)
Predicted division finish: 1st
The defending NBA Champions bring back essentially the same team from 2005-2006. The anchors remain Dwayne Wade and Shaquille O’Neal. The “role players” remain Antoine Walker, Alonzo Mourning, James Posey, Jason Williams, Udonis Haslem and Gary Payton.
Much to my surprise, this actually worked last year. I’m still not sure how.
If you watched the Heat at all during the regular season, they were the biggest Jekyll and Hyde team in the league. On certain nights, it looked as though they could beat anyone. Then the following game, they’d be blown out at home by the Warriors. Do you realize the defending NBA champs finished one game over .500 on the road?
I guess the obvious answer to how it worked is that Dwayne Wade became the game’s best player and one heck of a playoff closer. For three straight years now, he’s been the top postseason superstar, yet no one wants to acknowledge this has been going on that long. He carried a Miami team that arguably had no business being in the playoffs to the second round in 2003-2004. If he’s healthy for Games 6 and 7 of the 04-05 Conference Finals, I’m convinced the Heat would have beaten the Pistons and Stan Van Gundy might still have a job. And then last year, well, if you don’t know then stop coming to this web site.
Wade’s continued emergence as THE guy in the league means that Shaquille O’Neal’s not so subtle fall to better than average big man is not so important. This is D-Wade’s team. Everyone knows it. Shaq will give what he has left, but the Heat can only repeat if Wade is healthy.
The supporting cast is old. Shaq, Zo, Payton, maybe Williams have all seen their prime come and go. The question for this franchise now is whether they can squeeze one more title out before they need to rebuild.
To me, the answer to that question doesn’t even rely on those players.
Udonis Haslem, James Posey and Antoine Walker need quality seasons for a repeat to take place. Their consistency is key for a team that finally defined everyone’s role in the playoffs. If Haslem can continue to get better at rebounding and finishing and Posey can be the team’s lockdown defender and three-point weapon, and if Antoine Walker plays within himself and remembers to drive to the basket instead of taking horrid 3s, then this could work again.
One more thing to watch for is the development of Dorrell Wright and Wayne Simien. Both should get more minutes this season, and both players are important to building something around Dwayne Wade in the future. Wright got rave reviews in Summer League play, and the word is that he’ll be worked into a deep guard rotation.
Here’s a prediction you can take to the bank. The Heat will win at least 50 games and will win this Southeast Division handily. What they do after that is what everyone is waiting to see.
WASHINGTON WIZARDS (2005-2006 record: 42-40. Lost in first round to Cavs)
Predicted division finish: 2nd
The Washington Wizards are one of those teams that seem to be treading water in the NBA. They’ve finished in the middle of the Eastern Conference playoff pack in each of the last two seasons. They’ve got some serious talent on their roster. However, they seem to have gone as far as they can go when you match them up with the rest of the Eastern Conference.
Gilbert Arenas, Antawn Jamison and Caron Butler make up a pretty darn good three-headed scoring monster. Arenas is always out to prove someone wrong, and I’m sure he’s fired up after being cut from the US World Championship roster. The issue for the Wizards is that while Arenas, Jamison and Butler can put points on the board, they struggle in other aspects of the game.
Who will run the show on this team? Who will grab the key rebounds? Who will make the big defensive stop?
I don’t know. They lost their best defender when Jared Jeffries bolted to New York. They replaced him with DeShawn Stevenson. That’s a downgrade.
Sometimes stats jump out at you. Here’s one that would scare me a lot if I were a Wizards fan. When the opposition scored 100 points or more last year, the Wizards were 11-30. When the Wizards scored 100 points or more they were 28-16. They’re not winning the shootouts.
They still are a complete mess in the frontcourt. Brendan Haywood is tall, so he’s got that going for him. He averages just fewer than 6 rebounds a game. That is not so good. Etan Thomas has shown flashes of being a stud, but he hasn’t put it together for prolonged stretches. They added Darius Songaila thru free agency. Songaila is solid, but his weaknesses fit with everyone else’s weaknesses so I can’t see how he makes them better.
Jamison and Butler can’t be the teams rebound leaders if this is going to work. Someone else is going to have to become of factor night in and night out, and I can’t find a player on this roster that jumps out to fill this role.
For the Wizards to succeed and return to the playoffs as a 4 or 5 seed, they’ll need to make a big commitment to defense. They can score with the best of them, but with Cleveland, Chicago, Miami, Detroit and New Jersey all likely to finish ahead of them in the Eastern Conference, a first round exit looms as a successful season for Washington.
ORLANDO MAGIC (2005-2006 record: 36-46. Missed playoffs)
Predicted division finish: 3rd
Now here’s a team that excites me.
If there’s one NBA franchise poised to break out in 2006-2007, it is the Orlando Magic.
Now that I’ve gotten the hyperbole out of my system, here is my reasoning.
Dwight Howard is about to do become one of the top big men in the league. It’s amazing to think that there was actually debate over whether Howard or Emeka Okefor should be the top pick in the 2005 draft.
If you watched Howard play at the end of last season or in Japan at the World Championships, you saw a guy with serious potential to average 20 points and 15 rebounds per game (I want to write 20/20 but that’s ridiculous, right?). He’s a defensive powerhouse with tremendous shot blocking ability. The scary part of all of this is he’s only going to get better. He’s 20. This will be his 3rd NBA season. I am predicting a big time breakout season from Howard, and Orlando should be excited about it.
In addition to Dwight Howard, the rest of the roster features young talent that seemed to prosper under Brian Hill’s tutelage late last season. Darko Milicic has no pressure on him. If he becomes anything close to what he was projected to be then Orlando is in great shape for years. If he isn’t, they gave up Kelvin Cato. Darko is in the perfect situation. He’s playing along side one of the game’s brightest future stars and no one’s set up for a positive season more than the #2 pick in the 2003 draft.
They have good depth at point guard with Jameer Nelson and Carlos Arroyo manning the position. Nelson is a tad undersized for the NBA, but he’s a warrior. Arroyo made the U.S. look horrible in international play, and if he can look half as good in the NBA, the Magic should be in fine shape. They also brought Keyon Dooling back in free agency, so there’s good depth in the backcourt.
J.J. Redick comes to Orlando with tons of baggage. He’s got a bad back, he’s got a DUI conviction and he’s got a ton of knocks on his game. But much like Darko, Redick finds himself in a nice situation. Dwight Howard is going to have to be doubled constantly, so the odds of Redick finding himself wide open are pretty good. The Magic isn’t in denial here. They brought Redick in because he can shoot the basketball and if he knocks down his open looks, he can be a dangerous asset.
The problems are obvious. They’re young. They probably won’t defend very well. Grant Hill will get hurt and they’ll rely on Hedo Turkoglu and Trevor Ariza to play lots of minutes. With all of that said, I still like them a lot. I might be a year early here, but this team feels like a 7 or 8 seed to me.
CHARLOTTE BOBCATS (2005-06 record: 26-56. Missed playoffs)
Predicted division finish: 4th
If the Charlotte Bobcats were a college basketball team, Dick Vitale would be screaming at you about how sensational they will be this season. Sadly for everyone, no one can hear Dicky V in Charlotte.
There is some talent here.
Emeka Okefor will one day be an above average player if he can stay healthy. He only played in 26 games a year ago, but he averaged a double-double. With work and health, he could be an Elton Brand like player in a few years.
Gerald Wallace has emerged into a pretty reliable scorer since coming to Charlotte in the expansion draft. He’s also a defensive threat after leading the league in steals per game a year ago. At 24, he’s still improving in all aspects of his game.
Sean May is another big man who suffered from injury problems. His hard work and rebounding will be a nice addition if he can bounce back healthy.
Raymond Felton had a very nice rookie season, averaging 12 points and 6 assists. If he has some healthy big men to feed, he could enjoy an excellent sophomore campaign.
Then there’s rookie Adam Morrison. He has horrendous facial hair. I mean it’s so bad EA Sports made it a marketing campaign for NBA Live 07. While I feel Morrison should shave, his offensive skills are in no way in need of a makeover. He’s fearless with the rock in his hands, and that’s what the Bobcats have been missing. Like Okefor and Felton, he’s also a fierce competitor who should help spark a turnaround over time. I’m sure Michael Jordan’s new role with the franchise will also help the team’s competitive drive, especially since there’s no way he’ll come out of retirement again. Right? Please make sure of this!
The good news is that they’re getting better. With healthy seasons from key players, it’s not unrealistic to think the Bobcats might finish ahead of the Hawks in this division.
ATLANTA HAWKS (2005-2006 record: 26-56. Missed playoffs)
Predicted division finish: Last
The Hawks are a mess.
They made a huge mistake last year by passing on Chris Paul in the draft. The whole Joe Johnson for Boris Diaw thing sort of opened some people’s eyes.
But this is a new year! They’ve solved the point guard problem by bringing in Speedy Claxton. Can you hear the buzz?
They passed up Randy Foye and Brandon Roy (remember, they don’t need guard help) to draft Shelden Williams from Duke. Why add sizzle when you can add boring and adequate?
Look, I don’t mean to kill Claxton and Williams. They’re fine additions. They just don’t excite me.
Al Harrington is gone in exchange for a future 1st-round pick. I like the idea of moving Harrington, since it opens the door for Marvin Williams to get lots of minutes. However, to not get anyone who can step in and play immediately seems odd for a team with this many holes.
Unless Joe Johnson REALLY lives up to his contract or all the youth makes giant leaps overnight, this is going to be another long season in the ATL. Good thing no one there remembers the Hawks are still around.
Thursday, September 07, 2006
Tell me he didn't say that
Kobe Bryant says chemistry is the issue for Team America:
"Years playing together will jell us as a unit, [but] if there is no chemistry, it's going to be tough to beat all those talented teams," he said.
Does he even realize how he comes across anymore?
Truehoop beat me to the punch with the comments about Kobe in Las Vegas with the U.S. team, and the site nailed it, so I urge you to check out what was written.
Chemistry was not the problem in Japan. Pick-and-roll defense was the problem in Japan. Also, the more I read and talk to people who have opinions on how the team can improve that problem, the solution seems to keep coming back to Lamar Odom.
Needless to say, I can't wait to see the Lakers' team chemistry and how they defend the pick-and-roll come November.
"Years playing together will jell us as a unit, [but] if there is no chemistry, it's going to be tough to beat all those talented teams," he said.
Does he even realize how he comes across anymore?
Truehoop beat me to the punch with the comments about Kobe in Las Vegas with the U.S. team, and the site nailed it, so I urge you to check out what was written.
Chemistry was not the problem in Japan. Pick-and-roll defense was the problem in Japan. Also, the more I read and talk to people who have opinions on how the team can improve that problem, the solution seems to keep coming back to Lamar Odom.
Needless to say, I can't wait to see the Lakers' team chemistry and how they defend the pick-and-roll come November.
Monday, September 04, 2006
Computer crashes and America tanks
Take that...uh...America.
USA!? USA!? USA!?
It's all anti-climactic now as sadly I owe Chris Sheridan an apology. He's smart and I'm not.
If you want to live in the best basketball country in the world then it's time to move to Spain.
Why is the pick and roll so hard to defend for Americans? Lazy defense? Bad coaching?
Congrats to Spain, props to Greece, and a hardy kudos to the United States for finishing third. Just wait until Kobe joins the fun.
We're back hopefully (I've switched to a Mac, so no more crashing allegedly) with a big season preview starting in October.
Tell your friends.
USA!? USA!? USA!?
It's all anti-climactic now as sadly I owe Chris Sheridan an apology. He's smart and I'm not.
If you want to live in the best basketball country in the world then it's time to move to Spain.
Why is the pick and roll so hard to defend for Americans? Lazy defense? Bad coaching?
Congrats to Spain, props to Greece, and a hardy kudos to the United States for finishing third. Just wait until Kobe joins the fun.
We're back hopefully (I've switched to a Mac, so no more crashing allegedly) with a big season preview starting in October.
Tell your friends.
Wednesday, August 30, 2006
USA 85, Germany 65
Take that Germany!
USA!! USA!! USA!!
They didn't shoot well, but when they needed to make some plays, they did.
So goes the story of this tournament for the United States.
They won by 20. Had they made 25% more threes, they would have won by 50.
Doubters will say that this proves they're vulnerable, that they don't know how to win a close game and that they won't be able to stop a good international team like Spain or Argentina.
Maybe those "insiders" are right. They watch a lot more of this tournament than I do.
However, if I were one of those nations, I'd be wondering how I can keep the United States from having one breakout quarter. It's that one quarter that has done in every team that's tried to take the U.S. down, and with this much depth and this much talent, I think it's going to be mighty hard to keep them from getting off on a big run.
Now it's time to play with the big boys. We'll see if the United States has what it takes. I'm thinking that they do.
Bring on Greece!!
USA!! USA!! USA!!
They didn't shoot well, but when they needed to make some plays, they did.
So goes the story of this tournament for the United States.
They won by 20. Had they made 25% more threes, they would have won by 50.
Doubters will say that this proves they're vulnerable, that they don't know how to win a close game and that they won't be able to stop a good international team like Spain or Argentina.
Maybe those "insiders" are right. They watch a lot more of this tournament than I do.
However, if I were one of those nations, I'd be wondering how I can keep the United States from having one breakout quarter. It's that one quarter that has done in every team that's tried to take the U.S. down, and with this much depth and this much talent, I think it's going to be mighty hard to keep them from getting off on a big run.
Now it's time to play with the big boys. We'll see if the United States has what it takes. I'm thinking that they do.
Bring on Greece!!
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